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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 2, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Timberwolves49%108114
21Knicks51%109118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.7
39.5
39.2
23
60%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
7-11
5-9
64%
50%
2-7
29%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 21.8
35.8
36.6
19
54%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
7-8
88%
6-12
7-14
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 21.0
30.1
35.5
20
46%
8
1
0
1
3
4
3
5
7-8
88%
2-13
8-14
15%
55%
3-5
60%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.1
30.1
30.6
3
34%
3
6
1
2
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-4
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 26.9
17.8
32.3
2
50%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 28.1
27.1
7.5
10
73%
12
2
2
0
3
0
5
7
2-2
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
55%
0-0
-
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.6
20.8
17.3
17
65%
7
3
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
52%
3-7
43%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 24.1
20.7
11.7
14
70%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
51%
2-5
40%
Kris Dunn
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.7
18.2
11.3
6
77%
1
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 20.6
10.1
1
1-1
44%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 25.8
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 29.4
1.4
0
0-0
48%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 34.0
0.3
0
0-0
38%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.4
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.3
40.1
36.0
11
36%
5
3
0
1
3
4
2
3
5-7
71%
0-6
6-11
0%
50%
2-6
33%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
34.4
34.0
29
64%
5
3
3
1
0
1
0
5
6-6
100%
4-10
6-13
40%
48%
5-10
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
33.9
29.1
24
62%
5
5
1
1
0
1
1
4
6-10
60%
9-14
6-12
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.7
31.3
17.4
13
58%
6
0
3
1
1
1
0
6
5-5
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
2-6
33%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.7
31.1
16.6
20
84%
14
2
0
0
2
2
7
7
2-2
100%
9-11
3-5
82%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.2
19.4
23.7
2
25%
3
8
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.1
18.6
14.2
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-1
0%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.5
16.6
12.7
6
50%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.7
11.4
6.1
6
100%
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
2-3
67%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
3.1
14.5
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
1-2
50%
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
12.7
0
1-2
54%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
3.3
0
0-1
51%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.7
1.9
0
0-0
46%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.2
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.