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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 2, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Pistons
121
14Hawks
85
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
32
33
18
7
2
0
1
2
2
1
6
0-0
-
6-10
5-10
60%
51%
2-3
67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
30
33
23
8
0
1
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
4-12
4-8
33%
47%
5-8
63%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.2
29
34
12
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.4
29
29
11
5
13
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
43%
1-3
33%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.3
28
27
14
14
2
1
1
1
3
3
11
2-4
50%
6-9
6-11
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.6
31
26
16
9
2
1
1
0
5
3
6
2-3
67%
1-1
3-6
100%
51%
4-5
80%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
18
11
11
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
3-5
60%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
16
16
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.4
16
16
11
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
47%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.5
4
7
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.5
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.3
4
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.7
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.7
34
24
7
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
0-3
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.0
25
31
2
6
0
0
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
5-9
25%
60%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.2
25
32
17
2
11
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
6-11
5-11
55%
47%
1-2
50%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.4
18
31
7
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
4-7
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
17
25
5
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
54%
1-1
100%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.7
27
20
11
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
51%
0-6
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
24
24
11
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
56%
1-1
100%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
19
13
8
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
2-4
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.8
19
8
10
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
3-4
75%
2-10
1-2
20%
48%
1-2
50%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.7
17
7
5
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
1-4
25%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.4
12
6
2
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.8
22
1
3-6
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.9
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.