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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 2, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets
128
21Nuggets
110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
33
36
20
7
9
1
2
1
5
1
6
7-8
88%
5-11
5-10
45%
50%
1-5
20%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.4
31
32
16
7
3
5
2
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
4-8
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.4
28
26
11
3
5
1
1
2
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.5
26
26
13
9
1
0
1
1
2
2
7
1-1
100%
6-8
5-9
75%
58%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.6
25
29
18
6
2
1
1
0
0
2
4
6-6
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
46%
4-6
67%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
28
22
17
3
0
1
1
1
0
1
2
4-4
100%
5-6
2-3
83%
52%
1-4
25%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.9
24
30
18
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
4-8
50%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
20
13
8
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.7
13
14
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
4
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
1-1
100%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.3
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.2
10
0
2-3
52%
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.1
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
35
26
16
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
33
10
17
7
5
1
0
0
2
2
5
2-5
40%
6-12
1-2
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.7
29
32
9
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
42%
1-6
17%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
23
25
14
11
1
0
1
0
1
9
2
2-2
100%
6-15
4-8
40%
54%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
20
18
10
7
1
2
1
3
4
4
3
0-2
0%
5-9
3-7
56%
48%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
29
31
24
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-3
33%
7-12
5-11
58%
51%
3-7
43%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.8
19
31
5
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.8
17
24
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-5
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
9
8
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
9
16
8
4
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-4
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
8
8
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
4
3
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.8
4
1
0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
33%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.