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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 5, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nuggets59%109106
3076ers41%10698
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
37.8
31.7
24
69%
4
3
2
1
1
2
1
3
11-12
92%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
3-7
43%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
35.8
25.6
22
55%
8
3
2
1
2
4
1
7
3-7
43%
8-14
3-7
57%
48%
1-3
33%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
24.2
16.9
8
45%
10
1
2
1
3
2
6
4
0-2
0%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.8
21.2
26.9
4
29%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
3-8
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
13.0
25.5
2
53%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
4-8
0%
54%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.8
30.1
25.3
7
39%
5
4
5
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
26.0
33.2
10
63%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
6-11
25%
51%
2-3
67%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.8
23.5
19.6
22
83%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
45%
3-7
43%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
22.8
12.8
7
60%
7
2
1
0
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
4.9
7.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
0.7
7.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.8
1.7
0
0-0
40%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
36.4
24.0
17
54%
8
2
2
1
0
1
3
5
1-2
50%
5-10
2-5
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
35.0
28.1
4
25%
3
5
0
1
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.5
32.5
26.3
17
61%
4
7
3
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
43%
3-6
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.0
26.4
24.9
14
60%
5
1
3
1
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
25.5
14.3
16
45%
4
1
0
0
5
3
1
3
5-6
83%
4-12
3-6
33%
52%
1-3
33%
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.7
24.6
21.6
17
64%
8
0
1
1
0
2
1
7
2-3
67%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.1
18.3
10.9
11
62%
8
1
0
0
2
1
5
3
1-2
50%
5-7
2-3
71%
55%
0-1
0%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.7
15.5
16.3
0
0%
2
2
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 25.7
15.4
18.9
0
0%
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.6
10.4
7.3
2
35%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.0
27.7
0
6-12
52%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.0
16.4
1
1-2
44%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
6.9
0
1-1
43%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.7
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.