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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 5, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs68%10697
15Bucks32%9996
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
36
33
18
9
5
1
1
1
0
3
6
3-4
75%
6-13
7-13
46%
50%
1-1
100%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.4
31
33
21
9
0
0
2
2
2
2
7
2-2
100%
8-17
6-12
47%
52%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.4
27
26
15
9
1
0
0
1
2
2
7
1-1
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
2-2
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
19
26
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-5
40%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.6
18
18
6
1
5
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
49%
0-1
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.2
24
17
6
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.3
21
25
1
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-5
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.4
21
21
6
2
1
4
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.3
14
13
10
6
0
0
0
1
1
4
2
0-1
0%
5-5
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
9
17
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Nicolas Laprovittola
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.8
9
15
3
0
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.1
8
8
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-3
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
4
6
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.2
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 25.1
35
27
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-5
0%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
34
31
23
8
3
1
1
1
2
3
5
10-10
100%
5-11
6-11
45%
50%
1-3
33%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.2
32
26
8
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
1-3
33%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 22.0
29
32
22
11
2
2
1
1
2
2
9
9-10
90%
5-11
6-11
45%
53%
1-1
100%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.9
26
24
8
5
1
1
1
3
3
0
5
6-8
75%
1-3
4-7
33%
54%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 26.5
21
20
10
13
2
0
1
0
2
2
11
0-1
0%
5-9
3-7
56%
50%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 31.2
21
14
11
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
3-8
38%
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
16
21
2
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
14
18
8
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
4-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 39.2
13
16
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 20.3
4
0
0-1
40%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.3
3
0
0-1
53%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 19.8
2
0
0-0
50%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.3
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.