Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Knicks	43%	102	114	120.0	95	90.2
	19	Heat	57%	104	103	109.6	94	99.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 33	36.3	35	58%	3	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	6-7	86%	10-18	56%	3-9	33%
Kristaps Porziņģis F · 7'2" 240 · 21	30.4	14	39%	12	0	0	1	0	4	2	10	2-4	50%	6-12	50%	0-4	0%
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 31	29.7	9	64%	7	1	0	0	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Derrick Rose G · 6'3" 190 · 28	24.9	10	38%	2	3	2	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 32	14.5	10	83%	10	2	0	0	0	4	7	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 27	27.4	12	75%	7	3	1	2	1	4	5	2	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 27	24.0	6	33%	1	9	1	0	4	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 29	20.8	11	92%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Justin Holiday G · 6'6" 185 · 28	18.3	5	83%	3	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas · 6'9" 215 · 27	9.6	2	20%	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Willy Hernangomez C · 6'11" 240 · 23	3.4	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ron Baker G · 6'4" 220 · 24	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Maurice Ndour #2 · F · 6'9" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Marshall Plumlee #40 · C · 7'0" 250 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	53%	53	22	6	6	10	0	18	35	11-16	69%	41-73	56%	7-25	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 New York Knicks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 33	36.3	35	58%	3	2	0	1	1	2	1	2	6-7	86%	10-18	56%	3-9	33%
Kristaps Porziņģis F · 7'2" 240 · 21	30.4	14	39%	12	0	0	1	0	4	2	10	2-4	50%	6-12	50%	0-4	0%
Courtney Lee G · 6'5" 200 · 31	29.7	9	64%	7	1	0	0	2	1	1	6	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-1	100%
Derrick Rose G · 6'3" 190 · 28	24.9	10	38%	2	3	2	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	0-1	0%
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 32	14.5	10	83%	10	2	0	0	0	4	7	3	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-

Kyle O'Quinn C-F · 6'10" 250 · 27	27.4	12	75%	7	3	1	2	1	4	5	2	0-1	0%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 27	24.0	6	33%	1	9	1	0	4	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 29	20.8	11	92%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	1-1	100%
Justin Holiday G · 6'6" 185 · 28	18.3	5	83%	3	1	2	0	0	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas · 6'9" 215 · 27	9.6	2	20%	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Willy Hernangomez C · 6'11" 240 · 23	3.4	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ron Baker G · 6'4" 220 · 24	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Sasha Vujacic G · 6'7" 195 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Maurice Ndour #2 · F · 6'9" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Marshall Plumlee #40 · C · 7'0" 250 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	53%	53	22	6	6	10	0	18	35	11-16	69%	41-73	56%	7-25	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	39.9	29	76%	4	7	2	0	5	1	1	3	3-4	75%	7-13	54%	4-4	100%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	37.6	23	50%	14	1	1	3	0	3	5	9	3-9	33%	10-20	50%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder G · 6'4" 200 · 25	35.0	5	23%	6	4	1	1	1	2	3	3	0-0	-	1-7	14%	1-4	25%
Wayne Ellington F · 6'5" 200 · 29	33.0	14	50%	2	3	1	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	4-11	36%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 30	29.3	7	50%	8	5	0	0	2	3	3	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-2	50%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	36.1	13	54%	5	1	2	0	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	4-9	44%	1-2	50%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	15.1	5	36%	3	0	1	0	1	4	0	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	10.4	6	43%	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	3.5	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	\| DND - Strained Right Rotator Cuff
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| DND - Sore Left Wrist
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dion Waiters #11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	50%	46	21	8	4	10	0	16	30	16-27	59%	27-64	42%	11-25	44%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	NYK	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK

1.07 53.3%

MIA

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NYK

21

30

70%

MIA

15

29

52%

Midrange

NYK

20

43

47%

MIA

12

35

34%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NYK

7

10.5

25

28%

42%

MIA

11

16.5

25

44%

66%

Free Throws

NYK

11

16

69%

MIA

16

27

59%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Knicks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Anthony	35	58%	17.5 / 30
K. Porziņģis	14	39%	7.0 / 18
K. O'Quinn	12	75%	6.0 / 8
L. Thomas	11	92%	5.5 / 6
D. Rose	10	38%	5.0 / 13
J. Noah	10	83%	5.0 / 6
C. Lee	9	64%	4.5 / 7
B. Jennings	6	33%	3.0 / 9
J. Holiday	5	83%	2.5 / 3
M. Kuzminskas	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dragic	29	76%	14.5 / 19
H. Whiteside	23	50%	11.5 / 23
W. Ellington	14	50%	7.0 / 14
T. Johnson	13	54%	6.5 / 12
J. McRoberts	7	50%	3.5 / 7
W. Reed	6	43%	3.0 / 7
R. McGruder	5	23%	2.5 / 11
D. Williams	5	36%	2.5 / 7
U. Haslem	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	19 107.9 18 108.1	NYK 120.0 +10.4 MIA 109.6
Pace	17 95.9 21 95.0	NYK 90.2 MIA 99.2 +9.0
Avg. Poss. Time	13 15.2 5 15.7	NYK 16.0 MIA 14.5 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 49.6% 15 51.2%	NYK 52.6% +3.7% MIA 48.9%
TO %	15 13.6% 8 13.2%	NYK 9.5% MIA 9.0% −0.5%
ORB %	5 26.7% 11 24.2%	NYK 37.5% +6.1% MIA 31.4%
FTrt	28 23.9 26 25.1	NYK 16.3 MIA 30.3 +14.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 55.1% 24 54.4%	NYK 45.8% MIA 55.3% +9.5%
STL %	23 7.3% 21 7.5%	NYK 6.3% MIA 8.5% +2.2%
BLK %	4 9.4% 6 9.3%	NYK 9.4% +3.9% MIA 5.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	26 52.2% 20 52.8%	NYK 53.3% +3.8% MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%	29 55.4% 12 59.2%	NYK 70.0% +18.3% MIA 51.7%
Mid FG%	7 42.2% 26 39.4%	NYK 46.5% +12.2% MIA 34.3%
3P %	21 34.8% 12 36.5%	NYK 28.0% MIA 44.0% +16.0%
FT %	9 78.9% 30 70.6%	NYK 68.8% +9.5% MIA 59.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 34.5% 15 35.4%	NYK 30.6% MIA 32.6% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	23 37.7% 15 33.1%	NYK 43.9% MIA 39.3% −4.6%
3P Att. %	25 27.9% 14 31.4%	NYK 25.5% MIA 28.1% +2.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	NYK	MIA
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	114	103
Rebounds	53	46
Assists	22	21
Steals	6	8
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	18 (4)	16 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (6)	30 (1)
Field Goals	48-98	38-89
At-the-Rim FG	21-30	15-29
Midrange FG	20-43	12-35
2-Point FG	41-73	27-64
3-Point FG	7-25	11-25
Free Throws	11-16	16-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg