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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 7, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pistons41%10177
10Hornets59%10487
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
39
35
14
7
2
0
1
1
2
1
6
0-0
-
7-12
5-11
58%
51%
0-7
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
37
32
7
4
6
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-7
40%
47%
1-4
25%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
34
30
7
10
2
0
1
1
1
2
8
0-0
-
2-7
4-7
29%
48%
1-3
33%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.3
34
28
26
20
1
0
1
2
1
2
18
4-7
57%
11-14
6-11
79%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.6
26
22
10
3
2
0
1
1
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
2-8
25%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.6
23
25
6
4
6
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-4
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.4
22
28
2
3
2
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
4-8
14%
44%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
14
18
0
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
11
15
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.4
7
0
1-2
48%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.5
6
0
0-1
43%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.3
2
0
0-1
53%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
1
0
0-0
47%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.7
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 28.0
36
34
14
15
3
0
1
0
1
0
15
5-6
83%
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 26.6
34
33
25
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
7-17
5-11
41%
47%
2-5
40%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
32
26
9
6
0
0
1
1
0
1
5
5-7
71%
2-9
3-6
22%
53%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 30.5
26
22
12
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
2-5
40%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 23.2
20
28
0
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-6
4-7
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.7
28
24
13
5
1
2
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.7
22
25
5
5
2
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-4
25%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 30.0
16
18
2
7
1
0
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.7
14
14
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 24.5
12
17
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 28.6
14
0
2-3
47%
Treveon Graham
G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23.1
3
0
0-0
47%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 31.0
2
0
0-0
43%
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 22.1
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.