Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	21	Heat	39%	99	95	103.3	92	88.6
	17	Hawks	61%	102	103	110.8	93	96.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Wayne Ellington F · 6'5" 200 · 29	40.6	19	63%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	4-9	44%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	35.7	8	33%	12	0	0	1	4	5	3	9	0-0	-	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	34.6	21	55%	2	4	1	1	3	4	0	2	4-4	100%	7-13	54%	1-4	25%
Rodney McGruder G · 6'4" 200 · 25	30.9	11	55%	5	5	2	1	1	1	3	2	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 30	30.4	2	20%	2	4	1	0	5	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	35.2	27	71%	2	5	1	1	0	1	0	2	7-8	88%	4-11	36%	4-5	80%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	20.2	3	25%	5	0	0	2	3	2	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	12.3	4	100%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	\| NWT - Strained Right Rotator Cuff
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| NWT - Sprained Right Ankle
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| NWT - Sore Left Wrist
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	\| NWT - Strained Right Hip Flexor
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters #11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	53%	33	20	6	6	16	0	8	25	16-20	80%	23-53	43%	11-27	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

21 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Wayne Ellington F · 6'5" 200 · 29	40.6	19	63%	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	4-9	44%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	35.7	8	33%	12	0	0	1	4	5	3	9	0-0	-	4-12	33%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	34.6	21	55%	2	4	1	1	3	4	0	2	4-4	100%	7-13	54%	1-4	25%
Rodney McGruder G · 6'4" 200 · 25	30.9	11	55%	5	5	2	1	1	1	3	2	3-5	60%	1-3	33%	2-5	40%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 30	30.4	2	20%	2	4	1	0	5	2	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	35.2	27	71%	2	5	1	1	0	1	0	2	7-8	88%	4-11	36%	4-5	80%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	20.2	3	25%	5	0	0	2	3	2	0	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	12.3	4	100%	2	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	\| NWT - Strained Right Rotator Cuff
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| NWT - Sprained Right Ankle
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| NWT - Sore Left Wrist
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	\| NWT - Strained Right Hip Flexor
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters #11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	53%	33	20	6	6	16	0	8	25	16-20	80%	23-53	43%	11-27	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 31	35.1	23	82%	17	4	1	2	1	2	7	10	5-6	83%	9-11	82%	0-0	-
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 32	32.0	21	70%	9	2	4	3	2	2	1	8	5-6	83%	8-10	80%	0-2	0%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 23	31.0	17	57%	4	7	1	1	3	2	1	3	0-0	-	7-13	54%	1-2	50%
Thabo Sefolosha F · 6'7" 220 · 33	29.3	10	45%	5	5	1	0	0	0	3	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Tim Hardaway Jr. G · 6'5" 205 · 25	21.7	7	39%	0	2	1	0	2	3	0	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	1-3	33%

Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 36	33.8	9	50%	3	5	0	0	1	3	0	3	1-1	100%	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25	23.6	8	50%	3	0	0	2	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Malcolm Delaney G · 6'3" 190 · 28	17.0	4	33%	2	1	1	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Taurean Prince F · 6'6" 218 · 23	12.3	4	33%	2	1	0	1	0	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 32	4.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
DeAndre' Bembry F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Kelly F · 6'11" 230 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tiago Splitter #11 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mike Scott #32 · F · 6'8" 237 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kent Bazemore #24 · G · 6'5" 201 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	47	27	9	9	14	0	14	33	13-15	87%	39-69	57%	4-19	21%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	ATL
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	ATL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.06 52.8%

ATL

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

10

24

42%

ATL

24

39

62%

Midrange

MIA

13

29

45%

ATL

15

30

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

11

16.5

27

41%

61%

ATL

4

6.0

19

21%

32%

Free Throws

MIA

16

20

80%

ATL

13

15

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Johnson	27	71%	13.5 / 19
G. Dragic	21	55%	10.5 / 19
W. Ellington	19	63%	9.5 / 15
R. McGruder	11	55%	5.5 / 10
H. Whiteside	8	33%	4.0 / 12
W. Reed	4	100%	2.0 / 2
D. Williams	3	25%	1.5 / 6
J. McRoberts	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Howard	23	82%	11.5 / 14
P. Millsap	21	70%	10.5 / 15
D. Schröder	17	57%	8.5 / 15
T. Sefolosha	10	45%	5.0 / 11
K. Korver	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Muscala	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Hardaway	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Delaney	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Prince	4	33%	2.0 / 6
K. Humphries	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 108.1 26 105.4	MIA 103.3 ATL 110.8 +7.5
Pace	21 95.0 11 97.0	MIA 88.6 ATL 96.9 +8.3
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.7 21 14.6	MIA 16.3 ATL 14.9 −1.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 51.2% 19 50.4%	MIA 49.4% ATL 51.1% +1.7%
TO %	8 13.2% 28 15.6%	MIA 16.1% ATL 12.9% −3.2%
ORB %	11 24.2% 15 23.6%	MIA 19.5% ATL 35.9% +16.4%
FTrt	26 25.1 5 29.5	MIA 25.0 +8.0 ATL 17.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 54.4% 6 62.1%	MIA 58.8% ATL 62.8% +4.0%
STL %	21 7.5% 9 8.4%	MIA 6.5% ATL 9.7% +3.2%
BLK %	6 9.3% 10 8.5%	MIA 8.7% ATL 17.0% +8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 52.8% 18 52.8%	MIA 52.8% +0.8% ATL 52.0%
Rim FG%	12 59.2% 22 58.1%	MIA 41.7% ATL 61.5% +19.8%
Mid FG%	26 39.4% 16 40.5%	MIA 44.8% ATL 50.0% +5.2%
3P %	12 36.5% 23 34.1%	MIA 40.7% +19.6% ATL 21.1%
FT %	30 70.6% 28 72.8%	MIA 80.0% ATL 86.7% +6.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 35.4% 8 37.6%	MIA 30.0% ATL 44.3% +14.3%
Mid Att. %	15 33.1% 11 31.5%	MIA 36.3% ATL 34.1% −2.2%
3P Att. %	14 31.4% 15 30.9%	MIA 33.8% +12.2% ATL 21.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	MIA	ATL
Possessions	92	93
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.0
Points	95	103
Rebounds	33	47
Assists	20	27
Steals	6	9
Blocks	6	9
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (6)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (1)	33 (2)
Field Goals	34-80	43-88
At-the-Rim FG	10-24	24-39
Midrange FG	13-29	15-30
2-Point FG	23-53	39-69
3-Point FG	11-27	4-19
Free Throws	16-20	13-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg