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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 7, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers67%112126
20Knicks33%10594
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.7
34
29
3
20
1
2
1
1
0
6
14
3-4
75%
0-5
3-5
0%
57%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
32
39
25
6
7
1
2
2
4
2
4
10-14
71%
6-8
8-14
75%
57%
1-2
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.7
30
35
28
3
6
0
1
0
2
0
3
6-6
100%
5-11
7-13
45%
51%
4-6
67%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.2
27
34
21
3
2
2
1
0
2
1
2
5-5
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
4-12
33%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.7
21
11
6
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
2-2
100%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.5
23
19
14
6
1
2
1
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
4-6
67%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.5
18
17
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.2
15
9
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-3
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.6
13
18
6
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.7
10
6
4
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.4
8
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.2
8
4
9
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
3-3
100%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.7
5
0
1-2
47%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 34.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.2
31
25
15
2
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
3-7
43%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.2
31
23
16
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-3
100%
5-11
2-4
45%
43%
1-3
33%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.3
30
33
12
3
0
0
1
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
48%
2-5
40%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
24
35
8
4
2
0
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
6-13
57%
47%
0-2
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.8
15
18
5
6
2
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.7
21
22
10
7
3
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
52%
0-0
-
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.1
17
10
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.5
15
9
9
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
3
4-4
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
53%
1-1
100%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.7
14
20
3
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
14
16
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
10
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.7
10
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
0-0
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.8
9
7
0
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.