Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Nuggets	36%	106	85	87.6	97	94.1
	14	Wizards	64%	111	92	94.8	97	100.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Barton G · 6'6" 190 · 26	42.8	11	42%	2	3	3	0	1	5	2	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-6	17%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	36.0	10	45%	4	8	2	0	4	4	0	4	0-2	0%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	31.6	14	50%	4	1	1	0	5	4	0	4	7-9	78%	2-3	67%	1-8	13%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 22	20.5	13	93%	7	1	0	0	4	4	1	6	1-2	50%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 29	19.8	6	100%	3	4	0	1	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%

Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 30	32.2	5	16%	8	2	1	0	1	2	2	6	0-0	-	1-8	13%	1-8	13%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 22	27.5	17	65%	11	1	0	1	4	1	7	4	5-7	71%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	17.2	6	60%	2	2	1	0	5	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	12.1	3	38%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 30	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Emmanuel Mudiay #0 · G · 6'3" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gary Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	48%	45	24	8	2	27	0	14	31	16-24	67%	24-44	55%	7-32	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

17 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Will Barton G · 6'6" 190 · 26	42.8	11	42%	2	3	3	0	1	5	2	0	0-0	-	4-7	57%	1-6	17%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 35	36.0	10	45%	4	8	2	0	4	4	0	4	0-2	0%	5-9	56%	0-1	0%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 28	31.6	14	50%	4	1	1	0	5	4	0	4	7-9	78%	2-3	67%	1-8	13%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 22	20.5	13	93%	7	1	0	0	4	4	1	6	1-2	50%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 29	19.8	6	100%	3	4	0	1	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%

Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 30	32.2	5	16%	8	2	1	0	1	2	2	6	0-0	-	1-8	13%	1-8	13%
Nikola Jokić C · 6'11" 284 · 22	27.5	17	65%	11	1	0	1	4	1	7	4	5-7	71%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Jamal Murray G · 6'4" 215 · 20	17.2	6	60%	2	2	1	0	5	2	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-4	50%
Juancho Hernangomez F · 6'9" 230 · 21	12.1	3	38%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	3-4	75%	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 30	0.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malik Beasley G · 6'5" 196 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Emmanuel Mudiay #0 · G · 6'3" 200 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Gary Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	48%	45	24	8	2	27	0	14	31	16-24	67%	24-44	55%	7-32	22%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

14 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	38.0	15	44%	7	5	3	1	5	2	1	6	5-6	83%	5-10	50%	0-4	0%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 23	36.6	26	72%	3	5	0	0	2	1	0	3	6-6	100%	4-8	50%	4-7	57%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	36.3	9	50%	5	1	3	1	3	3	0	5	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	35.9	4	50%	7	1	2	1	4	3	2	5	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	33.2	15	54%	3	4	0	0	1	3	2	1	5-5	100%	5-12	42%	0-0	-

Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	25.2	8	44%	5	2	2	0	0	4	2	3	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-2	0%
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	11.5	6	50%	1	2	1	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 30	11.4	7	58%	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	6.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	5.5	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sheldon Mac #9 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danuel House Jr. #4 · F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	92	51%	35	21	11	3	18	0	8	27	16-17	94%	29-59	49%	6-19	32%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.97 48.3%

WAS

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

12

21

57%

WAS

11

21

52%

Midrange

DEN

12

23

52%

WAS

18

38

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

7

10.5

32

22%

33%

WAS

6

9.0

19

32%

47%

Free Throws

DEN

16

24

67%

WAS

16

17

94%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Gallinari	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Nurkić	13	93%	6.5 / 7
W. Barton	11	42%	5.5 / 13
J. Nelson	10	45%	5.0 / 11
D. Arthur	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Murray	6	60%	3.0 / 5
W. Chandler	5	16%	2.5 / 16
J. Hernangomez	3	38%	1.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Beal	26	72%	13.0 / 18
J. Wall	15	44%	7.5 / 17
M. Morris	15	54%	7.5 / 14
O. Porter Jr.	9	50%	4.5 / 9
K. Oubre	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Thornton	7	58%	3.5 / 6
T. Burke	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Gortat	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Smith	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Nicholson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 113.2 9 111.0	DEN 87.6 WAS 94.8 +7.2
Pace	6 98.4 9 97.5	DEN 94.1 WAS 100.1 +5.9
Avg. Poss. Time	23 14.4 25 14.4	DEN 15.3 WAS 14.4 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 53.0% 6 52.8%	DEN 45.4% WAS 48.7% +3.3%
TO %	23 14.7% 16 13.7%	DEN 25.1% WAS 18.2% −6.9%
ORB %	2 27.3% 13 24.1%	DEN 34.1% +13.6% WAS 20.5%
FTrt	13 27.6 25 25.4	DEN 31.6 +9.8 WAS 21.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 61.5% 16 57.7%	DEN 77.4% +17.4% WAS 60.0%
STL %	29 7.0% 3 8.6%	DEN 8.2% WAS 11.3% +3.1%
BLK %	30 6.3% 24 7.1%	DEN 3.4% WAS 6.8% +3.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 55.4% 8 55.0%	DEN 48.3% WAS 50.5% +2.2%
Rim FG%	11 59.4% 10 59.5%	DEN 57.1% +4.7% WAS 52.4%
Mid FG%	19 40.2% 2 44.0%	DEN 52.2% +4.8% WAS 47.4%
3P %	11 36.8% 8 37.2%	DEN 21.9% WAS 31.6% +9.7%
FT %	17 77.4% 12 78.5%	DEN 66.7% WAS 94.1% +27.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 40.9% 18 34.8%	DEN 27.6% +0.7% WAS 26.9%
Mid Att. %	4 26.2% 21 36.8%	DEN 30.3% −18.5% WAS 48.7%
3P Att. %	10 32.9% 23 28.4%	DEN 42.1% +17.7% WAS 24.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	WAS
Possessions	97	97
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	85	92
Rebounds	45	35
Assists	24	21
Steals	8	11
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	27 (2)	18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	27 (4)
Field Goals	31-76	35-78
At-the-Rim FG	12-21	11-21
Midrange FG	12-23	18-38
2-Point FG	24-44	29-59
3-Point FG	7-32	6-19
Free Throws	16-24	16-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg