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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 8, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nuggets
85
12Wizards
92
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
43
33
11
2
3
3
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
4-7
4-9
57%
47%
1-6
17%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.8
36
27
10
4
8
2
1
0
4
0
4
0-2
0%
5-9
2-5
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
32
30
14
4
1
1
1
0
5
0
4
7-9
78%
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
1-8
13%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
21
19
13
7
1
0
1
0
4
1
6
1-2
50%
6-6
3-7
100%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
20
15
6
3
4
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
2-3
67%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
32
32
5
8
2
1
1
0
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-8
5-10
13%
49%
1-8
13%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
28
23
17
11
1
0
1
1
4
7
4
5-7
71%
6-10
3-6
60%
54%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.8
17
26
6
2
2
1
1
0
5
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
12
5
3
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-2
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.1
18
1
3-5
53%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
2
0
0-1
46%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.8
1
0
0-0
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.8
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
38
38
15
7
5
3
2
1
5
1
6
5-6
83%
5-10
7-15
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.4
37
35
26
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
6-6
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.5
36
31
9
5
1
3
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
56%
1-4
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
36
35
4
7
1
2
1
1
4
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
5-9
50%
57%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
33
32
15
3
4
0
1
0
1
2
1
5-5
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
49%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.0
25
18
8
5
2
2
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
51%
0-2
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.1
12
8
6
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.5
11
16
7
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
6
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
5
10
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
5
0
0-1
50%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.0
0
0
0-0
50%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.1
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.