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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 9, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Heat
84
3Cavaliers
114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
37
32
6
8
5
2
1
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
34
34
15
3
4
0
1
1
4
1
2
5-6
83%
2-6
6-12
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
33
34
10
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
2-9
22%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
28
35
8
12
0
0
1
0
4
6
6
0-0
-
4-10
8-13
40%
58%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.8
19
26
6
4
4
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-11
2-5
27%
46%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.6
38
33
12
5
2
2
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-11
4-8
27%
46%
2-6
33%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
31
14
17
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
5-7
71%
6-9
2-4
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.6
20
10
10
11
0
0
0
1
0
8
3
6-8
75%
2-7
1-3
29%
52%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
11
0
1-2
53%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.7
9
0
1-2
44%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
9
0
1-1
43%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
6
0
0-1
42%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.5
2
0
0-0
44%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
37
36
27
8
8
3
1
0
3
2
6
2-4
50%
11-19
7-12
58%
57%
1-3
33%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.7
33
33
23
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-5
60%
7-11
6-12
64%
51%
2-4
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.3
31
31
28
15
3
1
1
1
3
5
10
3-4
75%
8-10
3-7
80%
48%
3-8
38%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.7
28
31
2
8
0
0
1
1
1
3
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.7
26
15
5
2
2
1
1
3
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.2
22
11
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.5
21
21
10
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.5
15
17
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.4
12
6
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.7
6
4
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.7
4
8
6
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.2
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.6
15
0
1-2
49%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 34.0
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.