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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 10, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Nuggets53%106121
26Magic47%105113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
33
30
21
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
6
9-10
90%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
2-3
67%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
24
35
16
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
6-8
75%
5-8
4-9
63%
48%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
23
16
5
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.8
23
22
4
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
41%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
21
19
17
8
0
0
1
1
4
1
7
1-2
50%
8-11
3-7
73%
49%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
26
24
14
6
6
1
1
2
1
1
5
2-2
100%
6-8
4-6
75%
55%
0-3
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.8
26
30
9
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.1
24
13
19
10
1
0
0
0
2
3
7
1-3
33%
9-10
2-4
90%
54%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.8
22
22
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
18
7
14
4
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
49%
4-5
80%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
32
1
5-10
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
2
0
0-0
51%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.8
1
0
0-0
50%
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.1
38
28
24
4
6
1
1
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
7-13
3-7
54%
50%
2-6
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
36
28
22
4
0
1
1
4
0
1
3
2-2
100%
7-14
4-7
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.3
34
24
12
6
4
1
0
1
0
3
3
2-6
33%
5-9
2-4
56%
53%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.1
24
21
10
1
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.2
22
26
11
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
51%
1-3
33%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.8
27
26
7
4
5
0
1
0
4
0
4
1-3
33%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-3
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.3
25
24
17
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.3
14
17
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.3
7
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.8
7
6
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.5
6
5
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
57%
1-1
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.6
7
0
0-1
42%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 25.9
5
0
0-1
46%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.1
Arinze Onuaku
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.