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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 10, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Heat30%99100
10Bulls70%106105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
34.6
34.0
21
54%
5
11
0
1
0
5
1
4
1-1
100%
10-17
5-11
59%
50%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
32.7
32.4
20
48%
8
1
2
1
3
2
3
5
2-4
50%
9-19
7-12
47%
57%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
24.9
33.2
0
0%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
24.6
33.5
7
50%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.8
22.9
23.2
8
80%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.6
33.9
34.1
15
52%
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
2-5
40%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
26.0
8.4
11
43%
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-6
1-1
83%
43%
0-6
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.5
25.1
20.7
10
43%
8
1
0
0
0
1
3
5
4-6
67%
3-8
3-5
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.6
15.3
13.9
8
68%
7
1
0
0
1
0
4
3
0-2
0%
4-5
2-4
80%
52%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.7
9.8
0
1-3
44%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
9.1
0
1-2
53%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
5.1
0
0-1
42%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.5
1.9
0
0-0
45%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.2
38.4
37.7
31
70%
7
4
3
2
0
2
1
6
15-16
94%
8-15
7-13
53%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.9
35.3
30.4
28
52%
3
3
1
1
2
3
0
3
6-7
86%
11-22
6-12
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.8
33.1
28.8
4
33%
5
7
2
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.7
30.6
28.4
4
29%
10
1
0
0
3
0
4
6
0-0
-
2-7
5-9
29%
54%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
26.0
28.3
13
55%
7
1
0
1
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
6-11
5-9
55%
53%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.9
26.0
23.5
8
40%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-2
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.8
22.0
21.8
9
75%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.4
17.4
12.2
6
77%
7
0
1
0
0
0
4
3
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.2
6.1
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.1
5.1
7.7
2
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.6
19.5
1
1-3
43%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.8
5.6
0
1-2
49%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.8
1.5
0
0-0
50%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.1
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.