Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	23	Heat	29%	98	100	107.5	93	88.1
	10	Bulls	71%	106	105	111.7	94	99.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	34.6	21	55%	5	11	0	0	5	2	1	4	1-1	100%	10-17	59%	0-2	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	32.7	20	48%	8	1	2	3	2	5	3	5	2-4	50%	9-19	47%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 25	24.9	0	0%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	24.6	7	50%	3	2	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 30	22.9	8	80%	5	1	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	33.9	15	54%	3	4	0	0	2	4	0	3	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	26.0	11	42%	3	4	1	0	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-6	0%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	25.1	10	42%	8	1	0	0	1	0	3	5	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	15.3	8	67%	7	1	0	1	0	2	4	3	0-2	0%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| NWT - Sore Left Wrist
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	\| NWT - Strained Right Rotator Cuff
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	\| NWT - Strained Right Hip Flexor
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters #11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	50%	43	25	5	5	12	0	14	29	11-18	61%	37-71	52%	5-20	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

23 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	34.6	21	55%	5	11	0	0	5	2	1	4	1-1	100%	10-17	59%	0-2	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	32.7	20	48%	8	1	2	3	2	5	3	5	2-4	50%	9-19	47%	0-0	-
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 25	24.9	0	0%	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	24.6	7	50%	3	2	0	0	0	3	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 30	22.9	8	80%	5	1	1	0	1	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	33.9	15	54%	3	4	0	0	2	4	0	3	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	26.0	11	42%	3	4	1	0	1	3	1	2	1-2	50%	5-6	83%	0-6	0%
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	25.1	10	42%	8	1	0	0	1	0	3	5	4-6	67%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	15.3	8	67%	7	1	0	1	0	2	4	3	0-2	0%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| NWT - Sore Left Wrist
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	\| NWT - Strained Right Rotator Cuff
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	\| NWT - Strained Right Hip Flexor
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters #11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	50%	43	25	5	5	12	0	14	29	11-18	61%	37-71	52%	5-20	25%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jimmy Butler III F · 6'6" 230 · 27	38.4	31	74%	7	4	3	0	2	2	1	6	15-16	94%	8-15	53%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 35	35.3	28	52%	3	3	1	2	3	2	0	3	6-7	86%	11-22	50%	0-2	0%
Rajon Rondo G · 6'1" 186 · 31	33.1	4	33%	5	7	2	0	3	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Robin Lopez C · 7'0" 277 · 29	30.6	4	29%	10	1	0	3	0	1	4	6	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Taj Gibson F · 6'9" 232 · 31	26.0	13	54%	7	1	0	0	1	2	2	5	1-2	50%	6-11	55%	0-0	-

Doug McDermott F · 6'7" 225 · 25	26.0	8	40%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	3-7	43%	0-2	0%
Nikola Mirotic F · 6'10" 238 · 26	22.0	9	75%	5	1	0	1	1	2	0	5	0-0	-	3-3	100%	1-3	33%
Cristiano Felicio C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24	17.4	6	75%	7	0	1	0	0	3	4	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Jerian Grant G · 6'4" 198 · 24	6.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Denzel Valentine F · 6'6" 214 · 23	5.1	2	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Bobby Portis F · 6'9" 250 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Paul Zipser F · 6'8" 226 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
RJ Hunter #31 · G · 6'5" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Michael Carter-Williams #7 · G · 6'6" 190 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	47	17	8	6	11	0	12	35	28-31	90%	37-76	49%	1-8	13%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	CHI
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	CHI

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.00 50.0%

CHI

1.04 52.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

19

36

53%

CHI

20

37

54%

Midrange

MIA

18

35

51%

CHI

17

39

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

5

7.5

20

25%

38%

CHI

1

1.5

8

13%

19%

Free Throws

MIA

11

18

61%

CHI

28

31

90%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dragic	21	55%	10.5 / 19
H. Whiteside	20	48%	10.0 / 21
T. Johnson	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Richardson	11	42%	5.5 / 13
D. Williams	10	42%	5.0 / 12
J. McRoberts	8	80%	4.0 / 5
W. Reed	8	67%	4.0 / 6
W. Ellington	7	50%	3.5 / 7
R. McGruder	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Butler	31	74%	15.5 / 21
D. Wade	28	52%	14.0 / 27
T. Gibson	13	54%	6.5 / 12
N. Mirotic	9	75%	4.5 / 6
D. McDermott	8	40%	4.0 / 10
C. Felicio	6	75%	3.0 / 4
R. Rondo	4	33%	2.0 / 6
R. Lopez	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. Valentine	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Grant	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 108.1 20 107.8	MIA 107.5 CHI 111.7 +4.2
Pace	21 95.0 22 95.0	MIA 88.1 CHI 99.5 +11.4
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.7 8 15.3	MIA 16.3 CHI 14.5 −1.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 51.2% 30 48.7%	MIA 48.9% +3.1% CHI 45.8%
TO %	8 13.2% 13 13.6%	MIA 10.8% CHI 10.1% −0.7%
ORB %	11 24.2% 4 27.0%	MIA 28.6% CHI 29.3% +0.7%
FTrt	26 25.1 21 25.9	MIA 19.8 CHI 36.9 +17.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 54.4% 13 58.4%	MIA 59.5% +14.8% CHI 44.7%
STL %	21 7.5% 12 8.2%	MIA 5.4% CHI 8.5% +3.1%
BLK %	6 9.3% 19 7.9%	MIA 6.6% CHI 8.5% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 52.8% 28 51.6%	MIA 50.0% CHI 52.0% +2.0%
Rim FG%	12 59.2% 27 57.4%	MIA 52.8% CHI 54.1% +1.3%
Mid FG%	26 39.4% 23 39.8%	MIA 51.4% +7.8% CHI 43.6%
3P %	12 36.5% 24 34.0%	MIA 25.0% +12.5% CHI 12.5%
FT %	30 70.6% 6 79.8%	MIA 61.1% CHI 90.3% +29.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 35.4% 22 34.5%	MIA 39.6% CHI 44.0% +4.5%
Mid Att. %	15 33.1% 28 39.9%	MIA 38.5% −8.0% CHI 46.4%
3P Att. %	14 31.4% 28 25.6%	MIA 22.0% +12.5% CHI 9.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	MIA	CHI
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	25.3	22.7
Points	100	105
Rebounds	43	47
Assists	25	17
Steals	5	8
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (4)	35 (3)
Field Goals	42-91	38-84
At-the-Rim FG	19-36	20-37
Midrange FG	18-35	17-39
2-Point FG	37-71	37-76
3-Point FG	5-20	1-8
Free Throws	11-18	28-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg