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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 10, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Mavericks20%9987
5Rockets80%111109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
35.0
34.3
26
52%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
5-7
71%
3-9
2-5
33%
45%
5-13
38%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
32.0
34.7
20
66%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
5-5
100%
6-12
6-14
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
31.8
31.2
9
41%
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
30.1
27.7
11
61%
4
0
1
1
2
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.5
11.5
16.9
0
0%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
26.4
16.7
7
70%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
26.1
23.5
8
100%
6
2
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-4
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jonathan Gibson
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.1
14.1
13.3
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.8
13.0
8.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
11.6
10.8
6
43%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-6
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.8
4.4
16.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
4.0
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.0
9.1
0
1-1
55%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.5
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
39.9
34.1
18
55%
9
17
2
1
0
4
0
9
8-10
80%
2-4
5-9
50%
51%
2-8
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.4
32.5
31.2
17
72%
7
1
0
2
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
4-8
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.6
30.4
28.2
4
25%
7
1
0
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-3
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.4
28.5
30.5
15
95%
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
4-6
67%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
27.4
20.5
13
59%
10
2
0
1
0
1
5
5
5-7
71%
4-8
4-7
50%
60%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
26.3
28.9
18
64%
1
3
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
47%
6-9
67%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
22.8
19.1
9
64%
4
2
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
18.8
13.1
12
93%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
57%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.8
11.2
14.6
3
150%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-1
100%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
1.1
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.3
1.1
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.2
13.5
1
2-4
54%
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.1
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.