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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 10, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Nets12%98101
2Spurs88%114130
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 29.0
27.0
28.6
9
70%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
0-1
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
26.6
29.8
20
66%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
4-5
80%
5-9
3-7
56%
49%
2-4
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 28.7
24.5
30.5
14
67%
5
5
0
1
1
0
3
2
8-8
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.9
23.6
30.2
6
38%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Isaiah Whitehead
G · 6'4" 213 · 21.8
23.3
26.5
7
39%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
42%
1-4
25%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 33.2
20.7
14.1
3
38%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
1-4
25%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.9
19.3
17.3
8
40%
7
1
1
1
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-8
1-4
38%
41%
0-1
0%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 25.3
19.1
24.9
10
56%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
3-6
2-3
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 36.6
15.8
3.9
15
67%
11
1
0
0
0
2
4
7
4-5
80%
4-8
0-1
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Caris LeVert
G-F · 6'7" 203 · 22.3
15.3
7.6
2
20%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
0-3
0%
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 23.7
14.8
9.8
3
21%
7
1
0
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.7
9.9
5.9
4
67%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.7
14.5
1
1-2
50%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.8
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.5
27.1
34.7
30
73%
7
3
1
2
1
0
1
6
6-6
100%
6-11
7-14
55%
55%
4-7
57%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.4
24.9
26.8
15
52%
5
4
0
0
1
3
0
5
2-3
67%
5-12
5-9
42%
51%
1-1
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
22.6
23.4
5
51%
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
22.1
31.2
12
60%
9
3
0
1
1
1
4
5
0-0
-
6-10
7-13
60%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.6
19.7
20.3
12
71%
1
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
51%
1-1
100%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.1
21.4
4.6
5
47%
6
0
2
0
2
0
0
6
3-3
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
56%
0-3
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
19.3
15.8
8
68%
8
2
0
0
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.2
18.4
17.2
14
88%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
2-2
100%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.4
17.7
16.0
3
50%
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.3
16.3
24.1
16
73%
0
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
4-7
57%
Nicolas Laprovittola
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.9
12.0
9.9
3
38%
0
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
10.2
7.3
2
25%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
50%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.3
8.3
15.3
5
102%
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.2
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.