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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 12, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Wizards49%103101
21Heat51%104112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
38
37
30
6
8
1
2
1
5
2
4
5-6
83%
11-21
7-14
52%
47%
1-5
20%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
37
32
10
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-7
4-9
43%
48%
1-3
33%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.5
37
33
9
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
55%
1-3
33%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.5
35
35
29
2
1
4
1
0
2
0
2
5-5
100%
9-12
5-10
75%
47%
2-8
25%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
32
34
7
11
3
1
1
0
3
5
6
1-2
50%
3-5
5-8
60%
56%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.0
24
24
6
5
0
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.1
14
9
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.5
13
13
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
10
6
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
7
0
1-2
50%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
3
0
0-1
48%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.0
0
0
0-0
50%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.1
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
34
32
17
16
0
1
1
2
0
3
13
3-6
50%
7-14
8-13
50%
59%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
33
30
11
2
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
2-9
22%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
31
34
34
5
5
1
1
0
3
2
3
4-4
100%
12-18
6-11
67%
53%
2-5
40%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
30
30
7
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.8
18
23
7
8
5
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
30
8
14
5
3
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-4
50%
6-7
1-2
86%
55%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.6
30
33
11
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
29
15
10
4
3
1
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.6
5
14
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
55%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.6
22
1
3-6
51%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.7
9
0
1-2
46%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
4
0
0-1
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.5
1
0
0-0
48%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.7
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.