Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Wizards	51%	104	101	104.1	97	112.9
	22	Heat	49%	103	112	114.3	98	85.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	38.0	30	54%	6	8	1	1	5	1	2	4	5-6	83%	11-21	52%	1-5	20%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	37.1	10	45%	5	3	0	0	1	3	2	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	36.8	9	64%	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 23	35.1	29	69%	2	1	4	0	2	5	0	2	5-5	100%	9-12	75%	2-8	25%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	32.0	7	58%	11	3	1	0	3	3	5	6	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	24.5	6	50%	5	0	1	0	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	13.7	4	33%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 30	12.9	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	10.0	4	67%	2	0	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sheldon Mac #9 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danuel House Jr. #4 · F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	54%	37	17	8	1	14	0	10	27	18-22	82%	34-61	56%	5-23	22%

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12 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 26	38.0	30	54%	6	8	1	1	5	1	2	4	5-6	83%	11-21	52%	1-5	20%
Markieff Morris F · 6'10" 245 · 27	37.1	10	45%	5	3	0	0	1	3	2	3	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 24	36.8	9	64%	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 23	35.1	29	69%	2	1	4	0	2	5	0	2	5-5	100%	9-12	75%	2-8	25%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 33	32.0	7	58%	11	3	1	0	3	3	5	6	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-0	-

Kelly Oubre Jr. F-G · 6'8" 210 · 21	24.5	6	50%	5	0	1	0	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Trey Burke G · 6'1" 191 · 24	13.7	4	33%	1	1	0	0	1	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 30	12.9	2	25%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31	10.0	4	67%	2	0	1	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tomas Satoransky G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Daniel Ochefu F · 6'11" 245 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Sheldon Mac #9 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Danuel House Jr. #4 · F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	54%	37	17	8	1	14	0	10	27	18-22	82%	34-61	56%	5-23	22%

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22 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	33.6	17	50%	16	0	1	2	0	0	3	13	3-6	50%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	33.1	11	46%	2	5	2	1	0	2	0	2	3-3	100%	1-2	50%	2-9	22%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	30.9	34	71%	5	5	1	0	3	4	2	3	4-4	100%	12-18	67%	2-5	40%
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 25	30.4	7	70%	3	1	0	0	1	4	1	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 30	17.8	7	44%	8	5	0	0	1	1	3	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	1-3	33%

James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	30.2	14	64%	5	3	0	0	2	1	2	3	2-4	50%	6-7	86%	0-2	0%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	29.8	11	55%	3	3	1	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	29.1	10	71%	4	3	1	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-3	67%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	5.0	1	25%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| DND - Sore Left Wrist
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dion Waiters #11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	54%	47	25	6	3	11	0	11	36	13-19	68%	36-62	58%	9-26	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.07 53.7%

MIA

1.09 54.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

23

37

62%

MIA

17

24

71%

Midrange

WAS

11

24

46%

MIA

19

38

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

5

7.5

23

22%

33%

MIA

9

13.5

26

35%

52%

Free Throws

WAS

18

22

82%

MIA

13

19

68%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Wall	30	54%	15.0 / 28
B. Beal	29	69%	14.5 / 21
M. Morris	10	45%	5.0 / 11
O. Porter Jr.	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Gortat	7	58%	3.5 / 6
K. Oubre	6	50%	3.0 / 6
T. Burke	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Smith	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Thornton	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dragic	34	71%	17.0 / 24
H. Whiteside	17	50%	8.5 / 17
J. Johnson	14	64%	7.0 / 11
W. Ellington	11	46%	5.5 / 12
T. Johnson	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Richardson	10	71%	5.0 / 7
R. McGruder	7	70%	3.5 / 5
J. McRoberts	7	44%	3.5 / 8
W. Reed	1	25%	0.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 111.0 18 108.1	WAS 104.1 MIA 114.3 +10.2
Pace	9 97.5 21 95.0	WAS 112.9 +27.0 MIA 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.4 5 15.7	WAS 12.8 −4.0 MIA 16.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 52.8% 15 51.2%	WAS 49.4% MIA 56.3% +6.9%
TO %	16 13.7% 8 13.2%	WAS 13.8% MIA 13.5% −0.3%
ORB %	13 24.1% 11 24.2%	WAS 21.7% MIA 28.9% +7.2%
FTrt	25 25.4 26 25.1	WAS 26.2 +4.6 MIA 21.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 57.7% 24 54.4%	WAS 43.6% MIA 55.6% +12.0%
STL %	3 8.6% 21 7.5%	WAS 8.2% +2.1% MIA 6.1%
BLK %	24 7.1% 6 9.3%	WAS 1.6% MIA 4.9% +3.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 55.0% 20 52.8%	WAS 53.7% MIA 54.4% +0.7%
Rim FG%	10 59.5% 12 59.2%	WAS 62.2% MIA 70.8% +8.6%
Mid FG%	2 44.0% 26 39.4%	WAS 45.8% MIA 50.0% +4.2%
3P %	8 37.2% 12 36.5%	WAS 21.7% MIA 34.6% +12.9%
FT %	12 78.5% 30 70.6%	WAS 81.8% +13.4% MIA 68.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 34.8% 15 35.4%	WAS 44.0% +16.8% MIA 27.3%
Mid Att. %	21 36.8% 15 33.1%	WAS 28.6% −14.6% MIA 43.2%
3P Att. %	23 28.4% 14 31.4%	WAS 27.4% MIA 29.5% +2.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	WAS	MIA
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	20.6	27.4
Points	101	112
Rebounds	37	47
Assists	17	25
Steals	8	6
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	11 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (1)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	36 (1)
Field Goals	39-84	45-88
At-the-Rim FG	23-37	17-24
Midrange FG	11-24	19-38
2-Point FG	34-61	36-62
3-Point FG	5-23	9-26
Free Throws	18-22	13-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg