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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 12, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Nuggets48%10392
25Mavericks52%104112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
33
31
5
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-9
4-8
11%
48%
1-3
33%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.8
31
22
17
2
4
0
1
1
4
0
2
2-4
50%
3-7
3-6
43%
41%
3-5
60%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.3
28
31
12
8
0
0
1
0
1
1
7
4-4
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
45%
2-5
40%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
18
20
4
6
2
1
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
5
19
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.8
28
22
15
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
4
0-1
0%
6-9
2-4
67%
44%
1-5
20%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
26
25
27
11
4
1
1
1
1
7
4
7-7
100%
10-12
4-7
83%
55%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
23
22
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
19
11
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.8
17
28
2
1
2
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
46%
0-4
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.1
8
17
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.8
1
0
0-0
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.2
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
32
34
25
4
0
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
5-7
71%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
32
33
18
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
6-7
86%
6-11
7-13
55%
50%
0-0
-
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
32
28
13
9
3
2
1
2
1
1
8
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
32
31
17
2
8
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
46%
1-6
17%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.5
22
15
7
8
1
1
0
4
1
4
4
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
24
11
11
6
2
0
0
1
1
1
5
1-1
100%
5-6
1-2
83%
49%
0-4
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
22
24
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
52%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
16
20
10
0
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.8
16
12
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.8
4
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jonathan Gibson
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.1
3
13
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
3
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.0
8
0
1-1
57%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.5
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.