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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 14, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pacers49%10289
22Heat51%10395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
38.6
28.5
6
50%
7
0
3
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.6
38.5
35.3
22
48%
7
3
0
2
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-11
5-11
36%
47%
4-11
36%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.7
37.2
30.7
11
41%
7
2
1
1
5
2
2
5
1-1
100%
5-10
5-9
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.5
28.6
31.3
10
48%
3
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 22.9
24.6
20.7
6
47%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.7
22.5
23.4
10
36%
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
2-10
3-6
20%
46%
1-2
50%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.7
22.1
18.5
15
69%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.9
17.2
12.6
4
29%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.9
10.8
14.1
5
43%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.9
5.8
0
1-1
48%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27.0
3.7
0
1-1
47%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
2.1
0
0-1
45%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.5
1.8
0
0-0
44%
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
34.9
32.3
11
31%
5
6
2
1
0
5
0
5
3-4
75%
4-13
6-12
31%
52%
0-3
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
33.6
32.3
26
62%
22
0
0
1
2
3
6
16
6-11
55%
10-16
8-13
63%
59%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.0
20.8
30.6
8
40%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
2-8
25%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.8
17.6
20.8
5
125%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
17.5
29.8
2
35%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-2
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.6
32.6
31.8
15
51%
5
3
0
1
4
0
1
4
2-4
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
1-5
20%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
30.5
20.4
10
63%
5
3
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
47%
2-4
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
25.1
16.7
14
71%
3
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-3
63%
55%
1-1
100%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.7
20.6
9.5
2
17%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-2
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.6
6.7
10.6
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.6
14.8
0
2-4
51%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
4.2
0
0-1
44%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.5
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.