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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 14, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Kings25%10498
5Rockets75%113132
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.5
34.7
10.7
12
43%
10
0
2
0
2
1
3
7
1-2
50%
4-5
0-1
80%
52%
1-8
13%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.6
29.6
26.1
20
74%
2
4
0
1
1
4
1
1
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
5-9
56%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.3
29.5
30.4
7
31%
4
9
0
1
0
4
0
4
3-3
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
50%
0-2
0%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
26.6
25.1
10
39%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
1-2
50%
3-9
3-6
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.8
25.2
21.0
10
45%
7
1
0
1
2
1
5
2
0-0
-
5-11
3-5
45%
52%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.1
24.2
20.5
8
44%
0
7
3
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.3
22.8
12.1
11
65%
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
4
1-1
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
54%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.8
21.4
10.5
9
90%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.9
12.0
2.1
7
60%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
7.6
9.0
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.7
6.5
4.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.3
34.2
1
8-17
48%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.8
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.3
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
29.9
36.3
15
86%
11
14
1
2
0
5
0
11
4-4
100%
1-1
5-10
100%
51%
3-6
50%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.5
29.1
33.0
17
94%
3
1
3
2
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
5-7
71%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.4
28.9
30.2
10
56%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-6
33%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.6
25.7
28.8
22
83%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-3
67%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
4-7
57%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
18.1
21.3
14
67%
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-1
0%
7-10
4-7
70%
60%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
26.0
27.6
9
38%
2
8
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
3-9
33%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
22.3
18.3
19
91%
7
0
0
1
0
0
2
5
1-1
100%
6-7
2-3
86%
56%
2-3
67%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
16.4
11.0
9
65%
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-6
2-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.3
13.5
15.0
5
47%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-3
33%
2-4
2-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.8
13.3
11.9
3
150%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-1
100%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
5.6
2.3
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.3
5.6
1.5
0
0%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
5.6
1.1
7
122%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
53%
2-2
100%
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.