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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 14, 2016
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Celtics31%96101
3Spurs69%103108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.8
37
32
11
2
6
3
1
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
43%
0-4
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.4
36
29
15
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
3-8
38%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
35
34
25
10
6
3
1
0
3
1
9
2-2
100%
7-10
5-9
70%
48%
3-6
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.5
35
31
13
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
53%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.6
17
20
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
58%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
25
24
12
3
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
41%
2-5
40%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.7
19
21
7
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.8
15
15
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.9
12
4
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.1
11
17
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
1
1
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.4
3
0
0-1
46%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.3
2
0
0-0
47%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.3
1
0
0-0
43%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.9
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.5
37
31
26
3
6
2
2
1
4
1
2
7-7
100%
8-12
6-12
67%
53%
1-5
20%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.4
35
25
17
13
6
2
0
1
0
1
12
2-2
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
1-2
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
30
17
8
10
3
1
0
0
1
2
8
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.6
26
20
16
2
7
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
8-14
3-6
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
23
23
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.3
24
21
10
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.4
22
17
12
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.3
16
12
10
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
55%
0-0
-
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.1
15
11
3
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
1-3
33%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.2
6
18
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.2
6
9
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Nicolas Laprovittola
G · 6'4" 180 · 26.9
0
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.