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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 15, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Knicks
90
1Warriors
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.4
35
35
8
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-2
0%
4-11
5-12
36%
46%
0-2
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.2
33
28
9
4
3
0
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.2
29
26
10
7
6
0
1
0
3
1
6
2-4
50%
4-11
2-5
36%
41%
0-2
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
24
18
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.8
15
20
6
10
1
0
1
1
1
6
4
0-0
-
3-10
2-4
30%
44%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.7
23
19
15
2
3
6
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
2-4
50%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.7
23
7
13
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-5
1-1
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.6
21
8
8
10
2
0
0
1
0
1
9
0-2
0%
4-8
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.7
15
22
5
7
0
1
1
0
2
2
5
1-3
33%
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.2
14
6
5
1
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
6
6
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.8
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.5
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
34
32
8
10
8
1
2
0
3
1
9
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
56%
2-8
25%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
33
34
15
14
8
0
1
2
2
1
13
0-0
-
6-12
7-12
50%
57%
1-6
17%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
32
34
25
5
4
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
6-7
5-10
86%
53%
4-10
40%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
32
32
5
11
7
0
2
2
3
5
6
0-0
-
1-7
3-5
14%
54%
1-5
20%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
16
10
17
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1-3
33%
8-10
2-4
80%
58%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.9
21
27
5
4
3
1
1
2
1
1
3
1-2
50%
2-2
2-3
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.3
19
17
10
1
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
54%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
15
8
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
59%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.1
15
9
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
11
14
9
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
1-1
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.3
10
12
2
4
4
2
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.9
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.2
5
0
1-1
51%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.8
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.