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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 16, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pistons49%103108
15Wizards51%104122
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
34
33
24
6
3
1
1
0
3
1
5
2-3
67%
5-10
3-7
50%
48%
4-7
57%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
33
29
14
6
2
0
1
1
0
2
4
3-3
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
52%
1-5
20%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.4
30
29
13
12
1
0
1
0
2
4
8
3-6
50%
5-7
6-11
71%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.7
24
28
14
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-6
67%
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
2-5
40%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
24
35
2
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
0-3
0%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.6
31
26
17
7
5
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
53%
1-3
33%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.4
18
20
6
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.6
17
14
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-4
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
17
17
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.5
6
4
5
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-1
100%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
6
10
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.3
1
0
0-0
54%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
38
34
12
14
4
0
1
0
0
3
11
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
55%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
35
36
29
2
11
3
2
0
0
0
2
9-12
75%
4-10
7-14
40%
46%
4-4
100%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.5
34
35
25
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
8-8
5-10
100%
46%
2-8
25%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.5
34
34
15
8
3
0
1
0
1
0
8
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
55%
3-4
75%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
18
22
11
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
1-2
50%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.0
34
30
7
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
6
5-6
83%
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.1
15
13
8
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.5
15
13
11
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
1-2
50%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
6
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
5
12
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.