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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 16, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks
125
6Raptors
121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.8
36
27
14
1
3
3
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
51%
1-5
20%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.0
34
28
27
15
1
0
1
0
1
7
8
7-10
70%
10-13
5-8
77%
59%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.3
29
33
24
2
6
1
1
0
3
1
1
6-7
86%
6-8
5-12
75%
47%
2-4
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.8
28
33
14
5
4
1
2
1
2
1
4
3-4
75%
4-7
5-9
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
28
28
4
8
1
1
1
2
3
2
6
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.8
23
28
19
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
6-10
60%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
22
15
10
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.5
22
20
7
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-2
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
18
23
6
4
5
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-2
0%
3-6
3-5
50%
55%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.7
4
0
0-1
47%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.5
2
0
0-0
46%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
1
0
0-0
42%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.4
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.7
37
35
27
2
6
0
2
0
3
0
2
3-6
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
6-8
75%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
37
32
34
5
4
2
1
1
3
0
5
4-6
67%
15-26
8-16
58%
48%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
26
28
11
6
2
2
1
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
5-5
5-10
100%
56%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.4
23
22
4
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
4-5
80%
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
0-3
0%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.7
8
15
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.8
35
27
10
5
2
2
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
27
26
17
4
4
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
6-11
4-7
55%
50%
1-1
100%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.9
22
19
10
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.4
14
12
3
5
1
0
1
1
0
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
62%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.6
12
17
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.2
5
0
1-1
53%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.2
2
0
0-0
49%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.8
1
0
0-0
47%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.6
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.