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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 17, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Knicks44%108114
19Nuggets56%110127
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.4
37.6
34.8
22
50%
8
3
2
1
0
0
1
7
7-7
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
48%
1-6
17%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.2
36.4
26.8
14
61%
0
7
3
1
0
3
0
0
8-8
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.2
35.8
29.6
10
45%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
49%
2-3
67%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
35.5
34.1
29
83%
4
3
1
1
0
4
1
3
7-8
88%
8-12
6-13
67%
47%
2-2
100%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.8
11.4
17.4
2
25%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.6
28.2
13.5
17
74%
9
2
0
0
2
1
2
7
7-8
88%
5-8
2-4
63%
53%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.7
20.3
20.2
10
64%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.7
11.6
13.4
4
29%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
10.9
19.7
4
69%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.7
6.6
18.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
54%
0-1
0%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.2
1.9
9.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
1.9
5.8
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.8
1.9
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.8
31.7
23.3
22
73%
7
5
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
8-12
3-6
67%
42%
2-3
67%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
30.0
20.6
16
69%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
4-6
67%
6-8
3-5
75%
53%
0-1
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.4
27.8
32.4
13
60%
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
2-2
3-6
100%
46%
2-7
29%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
27.3
28.6
12
43%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
4-9
43%
50%
2-7
29%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
20.2
22.1
10
63%
9
5
0
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
5-8
4-6
63%
57%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.9
31.9
27.1
17
70%
8
2
2
1
1
2
0
8
3-5
60%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
2-3
67%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.1
28.9
19.4
25
81%
7
2
0
1
3
2
5
2
5-10
50%
10-11
3-6
91%
55%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.9
15.7
24.4
0
0%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.8
12.8
20.3
6
60%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
7.7
12.3
5
43%
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
4.2
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-1
0%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
1.9
8.3
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.8
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.6
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.