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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 17, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Trail Blazers15%10790
1Warriors85%122135
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.4
30
35
20
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
7-12
5-11
58%
46%
1-3
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
30
31
17
2
0
2
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
3-7
43%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.2
25
33
10
3
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
5-8
5-11
63%
46%
0-4
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.3
24
15
6
8
0
1
0
0
2
3
5
0-2
0%
3-7
1-3
43%
44%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
18
28
4
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-5
40%
1-6
4-9
17%
52%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
24
26
9
5
3
0
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.9
18
2
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.8
17
14
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.1
17
26
3
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
45%
1-1
100%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.8
12
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
12
2
8
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
39%
1-2
50%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.1
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
5
17
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
31
33
34
11
4
2
1
1
5
1
10
8-10
80%
7-8
7-12
88%
57%
4-5
80%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
29
32
3
12
13
0
2
1
1
0
12
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
53%
0-2
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
27
33
19
3
6
0
2
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
56%
5-8
63%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
25
33
16
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
53%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.9
17
13
4
7
0
1
0
1
1
4
3
2-4
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
21
13
23
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
6-7
1-3
86%
54%
3-4
75%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.9
19
25
9
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
57%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.3
16
18
8
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.1
16
11
0
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
12
11
4
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
60%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
11
12
11
5
0
1
0
1
1
0
5
1-3
33%
5-5
3-5
100%
59%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.0
9
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.3
7
11
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.5
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.