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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 19, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Pistons
82
19Bulls
113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.4
26
30
10
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
1-4
25%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.8
24
34
6
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
24
31
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-4
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.7
24
27
7
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-4
4-9
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.4
23
31
9
4
0
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
4-8
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.6
24
17
7
4
3
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
1-4
25%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.6
21
28
16
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
7-8
3-6
88%
53%
0-1
0%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.5
18
19
4
3
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
18
10
5
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.0
18
14
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 19.9
7
3
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-3
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.3
7
2
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.5
6
4
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.3
30
34
19
3
6
2
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
5-6
6-12
83%
49%
1-1
100%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.8
28
28
10
8
14
3
1
0
4
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.7
26
27
14
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.9
22
29
13
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
48%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
19
24
16
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
8-8
4-8
100%
52%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.0
25
25
13
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
49%
1-3
33%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.5
22
18
6
7
2
1
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.9
21
10
13
4
2
0
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.2
15
7
6
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
0-0
-
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.1
12
15
3
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-2
50%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.9
7
15
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.8
7
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.6
5
13
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.2
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.