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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 19, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Mavericks38%103107
20Nuggets62%107117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
36
34
9
0
5
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
2-6
33%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
34
32
19
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
8-12
6-13
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
31
32
23
1
8
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
6-14
3-7
43%
45%
3-3
100%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
26
27
5
4
0
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.5
13
21
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
29
22
11
8
1
0
1
3
0
2
6
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
1-1
100%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
26
25
14
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
2-3
67%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
14
11
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-1
100%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.5
13
12
11
3
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Jonathan Gibson
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.1
6
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
5
8
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.8
5
17
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.8
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.5
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.8
38
21
27
17
9
1
1
0
3
3
14
0-0
-
12-16
3-6
75%
57%
1-1
100%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
38
28
17
8
4
0
1
0
1
2
6
3-3
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
51%
0-1
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.4
34
30
14
2
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
7-7
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.3
34
25
24
2
4
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
54%
4-6
67%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.8
33
27
18
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
4-6
67%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26.0
24
29
11
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.9
15
20
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
1-3
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 19.8
14
17
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.1
10
23
0
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
4-7
0%
55%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.3
10
0
2-4
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
7
0
1-1
47%
Juancho Hernangomez
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
6
0
0-1
49%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.8
1
0
0-0
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.6
Malik Beasley
G · 6'5" 196 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.