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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 21, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Wizards
107
16Bulls
97
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
39
26
8
12
2
0
1
0
0
2
10
0-0
-
4-12
4-7
33%
47%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.5
37
33
21
0
5
2
1
0
2
0
0
6-8
75%
6-10
4-9
60%
47%
1-7
14%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
36
36
23
6
9
3
2
0
2
0
6
5-7
71%
9-12
6-13
75%
46%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
35
38
14
11
2
0
1
1
3
1
10
0-0
-
7-9
5-9
78%
56%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.6
12
34
8
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
54%
2-4
50%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.0
22
26
4
5
0
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
19
3
7
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.5
15
14
10
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
45%
0-3
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.1
12
12
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
12
5
6
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
8
0
1-2
49%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
7
0
1-1
48%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.0
4
0
0-1
48%
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.3
39
32
20
11
5
0
1
0
4
5
6
8-9
89%
6-16
6-11
38%
50%
0-4
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.8
34
27
3
6
10
0
1
0
4
1
5
0-0
-
0-8
3-6
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.7
33
26
6
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
53%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
33
22
17
11
2
0
0
2
2
4
7
1-3
33%
8-12
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.9
32
25
19
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
5-6
83%
7-19
5-11
37%
50%
0-1
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.0
26
25
10
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
2-6
33%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.9
22
16
11
6
0
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
3-6
50%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.2
14
11
5
2
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.5
7
20
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
52%
0-0
-
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.1
13
0
1-1
47%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.9
11
0
2-3
49%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.6
9
0
1-1
43%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.8
6
0
1-1
49%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.2
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.