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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 21, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Mavericks41%10596
10Trail Blazers59%10995
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
40.5
34.0
16
44%
4
3
3
1
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
1-7
14%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
36.4
32.4
28
55%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
8-8
100%
10-20
6-13
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
31.9
31.2
23
66%
5
5
0
1
0
4
2
3
1-1
100%
8-10
3-8
80%
46%
2-7
29%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
31.1
26.6
2
33%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-2
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.5
24.3
18.3
2
100%
6
1
1
1
3
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
23.9
25.2
12
60%
0
0
2
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
4-8
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
23.8
24.0
9
76%
8
0
3
1
2
1
5
3
7-9
78%
1-2
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.8
19.1
13.0
2
20%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-3
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.5
8.9
13.7
2
14%
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
12.0
0
1-2
50%
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
6.9
0
1-1
51%
Jonathan Gibson
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.1
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.8
2.4
0
0-0
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.5
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
41.1
33.7
13
38%
2
2
0
1
2
3
0
2
3-3
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
49%
0-4
0%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.4
39.1
35.2
29
57%
3
4
1
1
0
6
0
3
6-6
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
49%
3-9
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
29.8
27.4
8
40%
8
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
56%
0-4
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
29.7
17.3
5
51%
6
2
2
1
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
28.9
29.6
10
71%
7
4
1
1
1
3
1
6
2-7
29%
4-4
5-9
100%
55%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
36.5
29.8
14
78%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
4-6
67%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
18.9
15.9
6
82%
10
0
0
0
0
2
5
5
4-6
67%
1-1
2-3
100%
56%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
15.9
11.2
10
73%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
41%
2-2
100%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.8
17.2
0
1-2
52%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.3
14.4
0
1-3
47%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
5.0
0
0-1
48%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.8
4.1
0
0-1
50%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
2.4
0
0-0
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.