Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	28	Lakers	36%	103	107	109.2	98	99.7
	23	Heat	64%	108	115	116.2	99	97.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nick Young G · 6'7" 210 · 32	35.8	20	71%	0	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	5-11	45%
Brandon Ingram F · 6'8" 190 · 19	34.5	4	25%	8	2	0	0	1	3	4	4	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 32	33.9	13	65%	7	2	2	0	2	1	0	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
D'Angelo Russell G · 6'3" 193 · 21	31.8	17	53%	4	7	1	0	6	4	0	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-8	38%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 30	29.9	14	58%	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	0-0	-

Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 30	28.1	27	68%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	8-8	100%	5-10	50%	3-7	43%
Jordan Clarkson G · 6'5" 194 · 25	25.1	4	20%	2	3	2	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Thomas Robinson F · 6'10" 237 · 26	18.1	8	80%	12	2	0	1	1	2	5	7	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 37	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Julius Randle F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22	\| NWT - Personal Reasons
Larry Nance Jr. F-C · 6'6" 245 · 24	\| DND - Bone Bruise Left Knee
Marcelo Huertas G · 6'3" 200 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ivica Zubac C · 7'0" 240 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tarik Black #28 · F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jose Calderon #5 · G · 6'3" 200 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	40	18	7	2	13	0	9	31	13-15	87%	26-52	50%	14-38	37%

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28 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nick Young G · 6'7" 210 · 32	35.8	20	71%	0	1	2	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	5-11	45%
Brandon Ingram F · 6'8" 190 · 19	34.5	4	25%	8	2	0	0	1	3	4	4	0-2	0%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 32	33.9	13	65%	7	2	2	0	2	1	0	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	3-6	50%
D'Angelo Russell G · 6'3" 193 · 21	31.8	17	53%	4	7	1	0	6	4	0	4	0-0	-	4-8	50%	3-8	38%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 30	29.9	14	58%	5	0	0	1	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	0-0	-

Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 30	28.1	27	68%	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	2	8-8	100%	5-10	50%	3-7	43%
Jordan Clarkson G · 6'5" 194 · 25	25.1	4	20%	2	3	2	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-3	0%
Thomas Robinson F · 6'10" 237 · 26	18.1	8	80%	12	2	0	1	1	2	5	7	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Metta World Peace F · 6'7" 260 · 37	2.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Julius Randle F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22	\| NWT - Personal Reasons
Larry Nance Jr. F-C · 6'6" 245 · 24	\| DND - Bone Bruise Left Knee
Marcelo Huertas G · 6'3" 200 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ivica Zubac C · 7'0" 240 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tarik Black #28 · F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Jose Calderon #5 · G · 6'3" 200 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	40	18	7	2	13	0	9	31	13-15	87%	26-52	50%	14-38	37%

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23 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	42.2	23	61%	13	3	4	0	3	1	3	10	3-6	50%	10-15	67%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	37.3	23	77%	13	0	1	1	1	3	3	10	5-6	83%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 23	36.5	9	41%	5	3	0	1	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-8	38%	1-3	33%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	35.9	21	58%	2	7	0	0	3	2	0	2	6-7	86%	3-9	33%	3-6	50%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 30	15.9	4	100%	2	0	0	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	33.9	14	50%	1	6	1	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-8	13%	4-6	67%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	26.0	19	79%	8	6	0	1	3	2	0	8	0-2	0%	5-6	83%	3-5	60%
Willie Reed · 6'11" 245 · 27	6.4	2	50%	2	0	1	2	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	5.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Rodney McGruder G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25	\| DND - Sprained Left Ankle
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	\| DND - Strained Right Hamstring
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dion Waiters #11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	59%	47	25	7	6	12	0	10	37	14-21	67%	34-62	55%	11-22	50%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	LAL	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

LAL

1.09 54.6%

MIA

1.17 58.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

LAL

11

20

55%

MIA

17

25

68%

Midrange

LAL

15

32

47%

MIA

17

37

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

LAL

14

21.0

38

37%

55%

MIA

11

16.5

22

50%

75%

Free Throws

LAL

13

15

87%

MIA

14

21

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Williams	27	68%	13.5 / 20
N. Young	20	71%	10.0 / 14
D. Russell	17	53%	8.5 / 16
T. Mozgov	14	58%	7.0 / 12
L. Deng	13	65%	6.5 / 10
T. Robinson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
B. Ingram	4	25%	2.0 / 8
J. Clarkson	4	20%	2.0 / 10
M. World Peace	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Winslow	23	61%	11.5 / 19
H. Whiteside	23	77%	11.5 / 15
G. Dragic	21	58%	10.5 / 18
J. Johnson	19	79%	9.5 / 12
T. Johnson	14	50%	7.0 / 14
J. Richardson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
J. McRoberts	4	100%	2.0 / 2
W. Reed	2	50%	1.0 / 2
L. Babbitt	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 106.5 18 108.1	LAL 109.2 MIA 116.2 +7.0
Pace	7 98.2 21 95.0	LAL 99.7 +2.4 MIA 97.3
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.4 5 15.7	LAL 14.4 −0.4 MIA 14.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	22 50.1% 15 51.2%	LAL 52.2% MIA 60.1% +7.9%
TO %	25 14.8% 8 13.2%	LAL 12.7% MIA 12.2% −0.5%
ORB %	7 25.0% 11 24.2%	LAL 19.6% MIA 24.4% +4.8%
FTrt	22 25.9 26 25.1	LAL 16.7 MIA 25.0 +8.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 53.2% 24 54.4%	LAL 45.0% MIA 55.6% +10.6%
STL %	11 8.3% 21 7.5%	LAL 7.1% MIA 7.1%
BLK %	27 6.7% 6 9.3%	LAL 3.2% MIA 11.5% +8.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 52.7% 20 52.8%	LAL 54.6% MIA 58.7% +4.1%
Rim FG%	23 58.1% 12 59.2%	LAL 55.0% MIA 68.0% +13.0%
Mid FG%	28 39.1% 26 39.4%	LAL 46.9% +1.0% MIA 45.9%
3P %	22 34.6% 12 36.5%	LAL 36.8% MIA 50.0% +13.2%
FT %	21 75.5% 30 70.6%	LAL 86.7% +20.0% MIA 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 38.0% 15 35.4%	LAL 22.2% MIA 29.8% +7.5%
Mid Att. %	14 32.5% 15 33.1%	LAL 35.6% −8.5% MIA 44.0%
3P Att. %	19 29.5% 14 31.4%	LAL 42.2% +16.0% MIA 26.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	LAL	MIA
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	107	115
Rebounds	40	47
Assists	18	25
Steals	7	7
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	13 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	37 (1)
Field Goals	40-90	45-84
At-the-Rim FG	11-20	17-25
Midrange FG	15-32	17-37
2-Point FG	26-52	34-62
3-Point FG	14-38	11-22
Free Throws	13-15	14-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg