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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 22, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Lakers36%103107
21Heat64%108115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 31.6
36
26
20
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
5-11
45%
Brandon Ingram
F-G · 6'9" 190 · 19.3
35
29
4
8
2
0
1
0
1
4
4
0-2
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
44%
0-2
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.7
34
31
13
7
2
2
1
0
2
0
7
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
48%
3-6
50%
D'Angelo Russell
G · 6'5" 195 · 20.8
32
24
17
4
7
1
1
0
6
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
3-8
38%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 30.4
30
16
14
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
54%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 30.2
28
26
27
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
8-8
100%
5-10
3-7
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 24.5
25
28
4
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
0-3
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.8
18
4
8
12
2
0
0
1
1
5
7
2-2
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
45%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 37.1
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 22.1
30
1
5-10
48%
Larry Nance Jr.
F · 6'9" 230 · 24.0
23
1
3-5
56%
Marcelo Huertas
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.6
4
0
0-1
47%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.8
2
0
0-1
50%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.7
42
31
23
13
3
4
1
0
3
3
10
3-6
50%
10-15
4-8
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
37
35
23
13
0
1
1
1
1
3
10
5-6
83%
9-12
9-14
75%
60%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
37
32
9
5
3
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.6
36
35
21
2
7
0
1
0
3
0
2
6-7
86%
3-9
7-12
33%
53%
3-6
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.8
16
16
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.6
34
28
14
1
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-8
4-7
13%
50%
4-6
67%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.8
26
21
19
8
6
0
1
1
3
0
8
0-2
0%
5-6
2-4
83%
57%
3-5
60%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.6
6
7
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
6
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
19
1
1-2
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.1
12
0
1-2
47%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.6
5
0
1-1
52%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.5
1
0
0-0
46%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.