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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 23, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Wizards46%10596
12Bucks54%106123
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
32
36
18
3
10
1
2
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
8-15
6-13
53%
47%
0-3
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.5
31
34
10
2
6
0
1
1
3
1
1
3-3
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
47%
1-5
20%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
26
31
14
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
26
36
8
6
3
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-8
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.6
25
26
18
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
55%
4-5
80%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
23
10
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-3
0%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.1
16
12
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.0
14
24
5
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
11
8
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.0
11
3
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
3-4
0-1
75%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.6
9
14
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.1
8
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.0
8
5
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.5
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 22.0
33
34
39
8
6
2
1
1
1
1
7
15-17
88%
12-18
7-12
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.8
32
32
21
8
3
2
1
2
1
4
4
2-2
100%
8-12
7-13
67%
53%
1-3
33%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 25.1
27
27
11
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 26.3
22
27
5
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
43%
1-4
25%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 26.0
19
21
5
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
55%
0-0
-
Malcolm Brogdon
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
29
23
17
3
7
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
47%
3-3
100%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 31.3
24
18
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
50%
0-6
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 26.6
21
18
12
11
4
1
1
1
2
1
10
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 39.3
18
12
6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
2-2
100%
Thon Maker
C-F · 7'1" 223 · 19.8
8
4
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
1-1
100%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-1
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.3
4
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
15
0
3-6
52%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 25.4
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.