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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 25, 2016
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Celtics
119
23Knicks
114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
35
32
15
7
5
3
1
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
6-10
5-9
60%
54%
1-3
33%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.5
34
33
16
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
3-4
75%
2-3
2-5
67%
53%
3-6
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.9
33
32
27
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
6-8
75%
6-10
6-11
60%
49%
3-13
23%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
32
33
11
6
3
3
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
4-11
5-9
36%
51%
1-1
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.7
24
22
9
6
3
1
1
0
0
5
1
3-4
75%
3-6
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.8
28
25
15
2
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
2-4
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.7
23
17
16
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
51%
2-3
67%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.8
13
16
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.9
12
3
8
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.2
6
13
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.8
10
0
1-2
44%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.9
5
0
1-2
50%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.4
2
0
0-0
50%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.3
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
39
32
29
7
2
1
1
1
2
2
5
9-9
100%
7-17
6-12
41%
47%
2-7
29%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
38
26
25
5
3
0
1
0
3
3
2
5-6
83%
10-19
5-11
53%
47%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.4
37
30
22
12
1
2
1
3
5
2
10
2-2
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
2-4
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.2
34
30
11
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.8
28
21
8
12
2
0
1
0
0
5
7
2-3
67%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.3
16
24
0
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.7
14
19
7
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.8
13
19
6
4
0
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
9
7
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.2
9
10
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.6
3
15
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
53%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.7
5
0
0-1
47%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.8
2
0
0-0
41%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.