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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
December 26, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors66%11195
17Trail Blazers34%10591
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.8
40
33
27
6
4
2
1
0
3
1
5
6-7
86%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
5-13
38%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
37
34
20
10
7
3
1
0
3
5
5
4-7
57%
8-21
9-18
38%
48%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.4
27
23
6
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
2-5
40%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
27
21
12
13
1
1
0
1
0
3
10
2-2
100%
5-13
4-7
38%
57%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.7
6
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.8
31
25
15
8
0
0
1
0
1
3
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
5-11
45%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
23
20
6
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-10
3-6
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.4
21
24
4
8
2
0
1
2
1
1
7
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
63%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.9
15
21
4
2
0
4
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.6
11
18
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.8
4
0
0-1
48%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.3
3
0
0-1
52%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.2
3
0
0-1
55%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.8
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
35
31
7
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
0-3
0%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
34
33
29
3
7
1
1
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
9-16
5-11
56%
48%
3-7
43%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
33
30
10
5
1
2
1
2
4
0
5
0-2
0%
5-8
4-6
63%
55%
0-1
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
33
24
8
8
3
0
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
2-4
50%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
30
23
13
15
4
0
1
0
1
4
11
3-4
75%
5-10
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
27
13
9
3
5
2
0
0
5
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.3
15
13
5
8
2
0
0
1
1
4
4
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
14
8
10
1
0
2
0
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
2-4
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.6
10
13
0
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
56%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.8
8
18
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-1
0%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
5
0
0-1
47%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.8
3
0
0-0
51%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
2
0
0-0
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.5
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.