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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 27, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Rockets60%107123
19Mavericks40%104107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.3
29.9
32.7
34
80%
5
11
0
1
1
7
2
3
12-12
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
4-7
57%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.5
29.9
29.9
9
90%
7
1
1
2
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
51%
3-4
75%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.6
28.4
28.1
22
80%
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
4-7
57%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.8
20.4
13.1
8
67%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.3
18.7
15.2
12
59%
7
0
1
1
1
1
1
6
2-5
40%
5-8
2-4
63%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
27.3
28.4
13
63%
5
3
0
1
1
1
1
4
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.6
27.0
21.3
9
64%
11
3
3
1
0
1
3
8
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
1-3
33%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
25.8
22.7
7
44%
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1-2
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
58%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.3
18.1
3.7
7
70%
2
2
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
46%
1-1
100%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
7.6
3.5
2
35%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
3.5
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-1
0%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.3
3.5
1.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
23%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.5
29.5
1
2-4
47%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
31.9
35.0
21
56%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
6-13
7-14
46%
49%
1-3
33%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
28.6
35.7
19
68%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
46%
3-7
43%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
23.2
31.7
6
26%
3
6
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-1
0%
0-6
4-8
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.5
14.9
16.3
7
36%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
2-8
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.1
10.5
6.2
0
0%
6
2
0
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.6
25.3
23.2
4
67%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.4
23.3
21.3
13
75%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
4-6
67%
3-5
3-5
60%
52%
1-1
100%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.3
22.1
27.0
11
55%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
3-6
50%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
21.0
11.0
13
67%
8
2
1
0
2
0
2
6
3-4
75%
2-2
1-2
100%
48%
2-6
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.8
14.3
16.3
3
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-3
33%
Pierre Jackson
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.3
10.6
9.2
7
60%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.8
9.2
1.2
3
38%
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
1-4
25%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.5
5.1
18.2
0
0%
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
0-0
-
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.