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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 28, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pacers
105
11Wizards
111
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 28.6
38
28
19
2
11
1
1
0
1
1
1
6-7
86%
5-9
4-8
56%
48%
1-3
33%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.7
37
38
34
3
4
1
2
0
0
0
3
8-8
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
47%
6-10
60%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
35
32
11
6
3
6
1
0
4
3
3
1-3
33%
5-6
4-7
83%
52%
0-4
0%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 20.8
34
29
15
8
0
0
1
3
4
0
8
3-3
100%
6-8
5-9
75%
53%
0-1
0%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.0
20
31
2
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.8
25
25
15
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
47%
4-8
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.2
18
22
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 32.0
14
17
5
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
6
1-3
33%
2-3
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 32.0
10
18
0
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 27.1
9
6
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 27.9
5
0
0-1
48%
Joe Young
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
2
0
0-1
46%
Georges Niang
F · 6'6" 231 · 23.5
1
0
0-0
48%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 30.7
Rakeem Christmas
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
41
36
13
16
4
1
1
0
2
4
12
5-7
71%
4-8
5-9
50%
57%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
39
37
36
11
9
2
2
0
5
2
9
12-13
92%
9-16
7-14
56%
48%
2-3
67%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.6
33
33
22
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
7-7
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
57%
3-6
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
26
32
10
7
1
1
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
49%
0-2
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.5
18
34
12
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-4
25%
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
21
19
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.6
20
12
7
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-2
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
18
7
7
7
1
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-2
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
1-1
100%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.1
11
9
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
7
9
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
7
4
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.2
4
0
0-1
49%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.0
3
0
0-1
51%
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.