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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 28, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings48%10589
25Trail Blazers52%106102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
35.4
34.0
28
60%
8
6
2
1
1
2
1
7
9-10
90%
5-13
8-17
38%
49%
3-6
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.8
28.9
19.6
13
55%
5
2
1
1
1
3
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
48%
1-4
25%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.8
23.4
16.6
6
100%
10
0
0
0
1
1
3
7
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.3
20.0
24.8
6
38%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.9
19.1
17.3
5
26%
0
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-7
2-3
29%
49%
0-2
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.6
31.4
27.1
14
54%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
47%
2-6
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
29.1
24.8
3
25%
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
55%
1-4
25%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.2
29.0
23.0
8
41%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
3-4
75%
1-4
3-5
25%
47%
1-4
25%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
13.8
12.5
6
77%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
10.1
11.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-2
0%
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.8
2.8
0
0-1
53%
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.5
2.3
0
0-0
54%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.0
1.4
0
0-0
48%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.3
35.0
33.1
20
47%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
6-7
86%
4-12
5-11
33%
49%
2-6
33%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
33.1
30.9
12
86%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
57%
2-3
67%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
32.7
32.4
13
73%
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
51%
3-4
75%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.3
31.0
27.5
8
58%
7
2
0
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.8
23.4
26.0
12
73%
14
2
0
1
0
2
2
12
4-5
80%
4-6
4-8
67%
56%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 28.2
30.2
18.9
11
65%
6
4
1
1
1
5
0
6
1-1
100%
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.8
24.6
13.9
16
56%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
3-3
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
53%
3-6
50%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 21.3
17.0
14.2
4
52%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.5
13.0
10.8
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 27.6
11.5
0
1-2
57%
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 24.0
3.5
0
0-1
49%
Jake Layman
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.8
1.9
0
0-0
50%
Tim Quarterman
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.2
1.2
0
0-0
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.5
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.