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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 28, 2016
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Raptors23%105111
1Warriors77%116121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 30.8
40
36
27
6
11
2
2
0
3
2
4
4-5
80%
4-10
3-7
40%
45%
5-12
42%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
39
35
29
5
6
3
1
1
0
1
4
9-10
90%
10-22
8-19
45%
45%
0-1
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.4
28
25
13
7
1
3
1
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
48%
3-5
60%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
21
24
7
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
3-3
100%
2-5
5-9
40%
53%
0-0
-
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.7
4
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.9
34
18
24
7
1
2
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
6-14
2-4
43%
47%
4-9
44%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.8
33
28
5
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
1-5
20%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.4
17
22
4
4
4
1
1
0
1
3
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24.4
17
22
0
5
1
2
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
58%
0-1
0%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 23.6
7
15
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Jakob Poeltl
C · 7'0" 230 · 21.2
3
0
0-1
47%
Fred VanVleet
G · 6'0" 195 · 22.8
3
0
0-1
41%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 21.3
2
0
0-0
45%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.7
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.2
38
33
22
17
7
0
1
5
6
0
17
3-5
60%
5-10
7-12
50%
56%
3-5
60%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
38
32
14
6
10
2
2
2
4
0
6
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
52%
2-3
67%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
36
34
28
7
7
0
2
0
2
1
6
7-7
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
54%
3-6
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
35
36
21
6
2
1
1
2
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-11
5-9
27%
52%
5-7
71%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.9
18
16
8
3
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.9
30
25
11
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-5
1-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
16
12
9
5
0
0
0
0
1
4
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
54%
1-2
50%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.3
12
17
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.3
10
13
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.9
7
9
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
8
0
1-2
56%
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.2
5
0
0-0
49%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.3
3
0
0-1
50%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.0
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.