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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 30, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Pistons
98
19Hawks
105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
39
33
12
4
1
3
1
1
5
0
4
4-4
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
2-8
25%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
38
29
14
5
2
0
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
2-6
33%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.6
37
28
22
6
1
2
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
7-12
4-7
58%
53%
2-4
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.4
35
28
15
15
1
1
1
1
6
6
9
5-7
71%
5-12
5-10
42%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.7
32
30
20
4
8
1
1
0
4
2
2
4-4
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.5
25
19
7
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
1-4
25%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.6
21
15
4
2
5
1
1
4
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.1
13
15
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
27
1
3-6
48%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
5
0
0-1
44%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.4
3
0
1-1
53%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.0
3
0
0-1
49%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.5
3
0
0-1
49%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.9
37
33
26
6
5
2
2
0
3
3
3
7-8
88%
8-16
5-10
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.3
31
32
17
1
7
2
1
0
4
0
1
3-4
75%
4-10
6-11
40%
49%
2-4
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.1
30
30
10
15
1
0
1
1
0
5
10
2-3
67%
4-7
5-8
57%
61%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.5
29
30
10
2
4
2
1
1
2
0
2
2-3
67%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
0-1
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.7
23
26
4
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-1
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
54%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.8
29
22
22
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
4-5
1-2
80%
49%
3-8
38%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
18
17
5
5
2
2
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
56%
1-3
33%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.8
17
15
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
51%
0-3
0%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
16
15
2
3
7
2
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
10
10
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.5
9
0
1-1
52%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.5
7
0
1-2
48%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.0
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.