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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 1, 2017
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs64%102112
15Hawks36%97114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.5
43.5
30.3
27
76%
13
2
0
1
3
2
3
10
2-2
100%
11-16
6-12
69%
50%
1-1
100%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 36.5
37.8
24.4
18
71%
9
2
1
0
1
3
1
8
5-6
83%
5-9
4-8
56%
49%
1-1
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.6
31.6
23.4
22
58%
3
7
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
9-16
4-8
56%
49%
1-2
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 29.5
31.4
29.2
9
56%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
3-8
38%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.5
28.1
15.2
13
43%
4
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
6-7
86%
2-6
3-5
33%
52%
1-6
17%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 28.4
21.2
20.1
5
31%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 39.4
20.8
17.6
10
69%
3
3
3
1
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 27.3
18.8
23.4
0
0%
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
50%
0-2
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
18.4
16.0
8
44%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.3
7.8
20.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 27.4
5.7
14.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Dejounte Murray
G · 6'5" 170 · 20.3
5.5
0
1-2
47%
Davis Bertans
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24.1
3.6
0
0-0
50%
Bryn Forbes
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.9
46.8
34.1
32
58%
13
3
0
2
1
2
3
10
7-10
70%
8-17
5-11
47%
49%
3-6
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.1
34.3
29.3
6
52%
8
1
0
1
1
2
4
4
2-4
50%
2-4
5-8
50%
60%
0-0
-
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.3
33.4
31.3
16
44%
1
10
0
1
1
3
1
0
2-3
67%
7-15
5-11
47%
48%
0-2
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.5
19.1
29.4
8
34%
2
0
2
1
0
0
1
1
1-4
25%
2-8
3-7
25%
46%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.7
16.3
24.5
3
32%
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.8
39.4
25.0
14
58%
8
4
1
1
1
0
0
8
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
4-9
44%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.8
31.3
15.7
29
104%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
5-6
2-4
83%
49%
6-7
86%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
19.6
14.9
4
40%
4
4
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
18.6
17.3
2
25%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
6.3
10.0
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.5
5.0
0
1-1
46%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
4.3
0
0-1
40%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.0
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.8
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.