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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 1, 2017
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Pistons53%100107
23Heat47%9998
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.9
40
35
23
6
5
2
1
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
4-7
57%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 23.4
36
31
25
18
0
2
1
2
3
6
12
1-6
17%
12-19
6-11
63%
53%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 26.7
33
30
27
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-5
100%
8-12
4-9
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
31
18
11
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 27.6
28
31
2
3
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
54%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
35
33
17
7
0
2
1
2
1
1
6
6-7
86%
4-9
5-9
44%
52%
1-4
25%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.5
15
21
0
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-6
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 20.6
13
18
0
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.1
9
14
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.7
4
0
0-1
45%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.5
3
0
0-1
48%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 28.4
2
0
0-1
53%
Henry Ellenson
F · 6'11" 245 · 20.0
2
0
0-0
49%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.8
Michael Gbinije
G-F · 6'7" 200 · 24.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
38
33
14
1
8
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
2-5
40%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.1
37
21
18
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
4-8
50%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
33
23
8
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.6
18
12
4
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
17
14
7
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
1-1
100%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
34
21
20
7
3
1
1
1
3
1
6
4-4
100%
2-8
3-5
25%
55%
4-5
80%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.7
29
29
11
1
5
1
1
2
1
0
1
4-5
80%
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.6
21
2
6
6
0
1
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
47%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.6
13
6
10
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
32
1
7-11
58%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.8
31
1
4-9
44%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.7
19
1
3-6
51%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.8
6
0
1-1
46%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.