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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 2, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Magic
115
23Knicks
103
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.3
32
27
22
6
6
1
1
0
2
3
3
3-5
60%
5-9
3-7
56%
51%
3-10
30%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
32
26
23
2
2
0
1
1
3
0
2
3-3
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
6-7
86%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
31
29
22
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
8-15
5-9
53%
53%
2-5
40%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24.3
19
23
0
2
3
2
0
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 29.1
14
16
6
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
2-4
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 26.2
31
28
14
13
5
2
1
0
2
5
8
0-1
0%
7-11
6-12
64%
50%
0-0
-
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.9
31
28
13
3
14
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
48%
1-1
100%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.3
27
22
10
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
1-3
33%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.7
18
18
3
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.9
2
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Arinze Onuaku
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29.5
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 26.0
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 30.5
4
0
0-0
52%
Stephen Zimmerman
C · 7'0" 240 · 20.3
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 24.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 32.6
35
26
19
7
3
3
1
1
1
1
6
7-8
88%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
0-4
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 31.2
34
13
14
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
50%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.9
33
24
8
10
2
2
1
2
1
5
5
2-4
50%
3-7
3-5
43%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.2
28
36
18
3
4
0
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
8-14
8-16
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
20
20
10
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 27.3
24
30
12
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.8
17
10
0
9
1
0
0
1
1
3
6
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Willy Hernangomez
C · 6'11" 240 · 22.6
16
12
4
3
2
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-2
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Mindaugas Kuzminskas
· 6'9" 215 · 27.2
16
8
9
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
51%
3-3
100%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.7
14
26
5
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
1-2
50%
Maurice Ndour
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.5
2
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Ron Baker
G · 6'4" 220 · 23.8
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.8
12
0
1-1
43%
Marshall Plumlee
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.5
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.