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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 2, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Wizards25%10691
4Rockets75%115101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
40.2
34.2
13
60%
14
3
1
1
0
4
4
10
1-2
50%
6-10
5-9
60%
55%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
37.0
34.7
18
47%
5
12
2
2
0
5
1
4
2-3
67%
8-16
6-13
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.5
35.4
18.0
27
68%
3
2
2
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
5-10
50%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.6
32.8
31.5
8
33%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
55%
0-5
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
32.8
25.3
12
49%
8
3
0
1
1
2
1
7
2-3
67%
5-7
3-7
71%
47%
0-4
0%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
23.1
16.6
0
0%
7
0
2
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.6
18.5
17.3
7
44%
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.1
11.0
18.2
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
9.3
14.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
15.5
0
1-3
47%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.2
7.2
0
1-1
47%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
5.1
0
1-1
48%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.1
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.2
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 31.5
43.6
34.4
10
50%
6
5
3
2
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
52%
2-6
33%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
42.1
35.3
23
40%
10
10
3
1
0
6
1
9
9-10
90%
4-13
5-9
31%
52%
2-11
18%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22.9
33.0
28.1
14
57%
9
1
0
1
2
2
3
6
2-3
67%
6-11
5-9
55%
61%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 28.7
32.3
28.4
8
57%
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 30.8
15.9
20.3
4
50%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.0
36.4
27.4
31
78%
2
3
0
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
5-6
2-4
83%
47%
6-12
50%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.7
16.6
17.9
0
0%
6
0
1
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
58%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 34.3
14.1
14.0
9
58%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
1-4
25%
4-6
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 22.4
5.9
5.6
2
25%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.5
19.1
1
1-2
48%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
2.7
0
0-1
48%
Kyle Wiltjer
F · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
1.8
0
0-0
50%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 32.3
1.3
0
0-0
26%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
Chinanu Onuaku
C · 6'10" 245 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.