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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 3, 2017
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Wizards
105
20Mavericks
113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
40
36
12
16
4
0
1
1
1
4
12
2-2
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
56%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.3
39
36
27
4
8
3
2
1
4
0
4
6-6
100%
9-16
6-13
56%
47%
1-3
33%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 23.6
37
32
13
4
3
3
1
3
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
56%
3-5
60%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 23.5
35
27
25
4
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-3
67%
7-15
3-7
47%
47%
3-11
27%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 27.3
26
29
13
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-3
67%
4-8
4-8
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 21.1
25
20
8
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
2-4
50%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29.6
15
18
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
45%
1-3
33%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 24.1
9
14
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
8
11
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Sheldon Mac
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24.0
6
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Tomas Satoransky
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25.2
5
0
0-1
47%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
3
0
0-1
49%
Daniel Ochefu
F · 6'11" 245 · 23.1
2
0
0-0
49%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.2
Danuel House
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
38
32
12
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
47%
2-4
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
35
31
26
7
5
0
1
1
2
0
7
8-9
89%
6-14
6-13
43%
51%
2-4
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.5
32
26
21
1
6
0
1
0
5
0
1
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
4-7
57%
Dorian Finney-Smith
F · 6'8" 220 · 23.7
26
24
0
6
1
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 38.5
24
18
11
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
49%
1-4
25%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.4
22
25
16
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
4-5
80%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 32.1
20
14
0
6
2
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
57%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.9
17
18
17
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
4-7
57%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
13
21
8
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
0-0
-
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
5
13
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 30.6
4
10
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
61%
0-0
-
Pierre Jackson
G · 5'10" 180 · 25.3
3
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Nicolas Brussino
· 6'8" 195 · 23.8
6
0
0-0
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 32.5
AJ Hammons
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.