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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 3, 2017
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Heat54%10590
27Suns46%10499
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.7
38
15
24
3
9
2
0
0
5
0
3
5-6
83%
8-16
3-5
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
37
35
11
2
3
2
1
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-11
3-7
36%
47%
1-5
20%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
33
27
8
5
1
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
48%
2-5
40%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.6
32
14
22
18
2
1
0
2
1
8
10
0-0
-
11-16
2-4
69%
55%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
23
15
7
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-2
0%
2-7
1-2
29%
44%
1-4
25%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.1
37
27
12
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.6
24
9
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
3-4
75%
0-6
1-2
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.6
16
9
3
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
32
1
4-10
45%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.7
29
1
4-8
48%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
26
1
3-6
56%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
22
1
5-8
59%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.8
21
1
3-6
46%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.8
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Booker
G · 6'6" 210 · 20.2
35
33
27
2
4
1
1
0
6
1
1
6-7
86%
6-13
5-12
46%
46%
3-6
50%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.1
35
34
17
4
7
2
2
1
4
0
4
7-8
88%
2-10
6-12
20%
50%
2-4
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 34.3
32
23
5
20
1
0
1
2
1
6
14
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
61%
0-0
-
Marquese Chriss
F · 6'10" 240 · 19.5
31
17
18
6
2
2
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
50%
2-5
40%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.3
17
31
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
6-11
50%
51%
0-1
0%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 31.7
32
31
7
6
4
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Dragan Bender
F · 7'1" 225 · 19.1
16
12
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-3
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 23.6
16
21
9
8
0
0
0
3
2
2
6
1-2
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Ulis
G · 5'10" 160 · 21.0
13
8
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 34.1
13
11
10
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
2-2
100%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 25.1
11
0
2-4
46%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 31.5
6
0
0-1
53%
Alan Williams
F-C · 6'8" 265 · 23.9
2
0
0-1
50%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.8
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 19.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.