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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Wednesday
January 4, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls28%100106
4Cavaliers72%10894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 27.3
38.5
36.9
20
46%
6
8
1
2
0
0
3
3
3-4
75%
4-12
7-14
33%
48%
3-8
38%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
33.5
26.6
18
90%
7
2
1
1
0
3
2
5
0-0
-
9-10
5-10
90%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
27.8
24.2
13
47%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 35.0
27.3
26.0
10
51%
4
4
2
1
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
0-5
5-12
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.8
23.2
24.4
6
60%
5
1
0
0
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 25.0
32.4
28.5
17
86%
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
3-4
75%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.9
26.1
25.2
16
64%
4
1
1
1
1
0
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
3-7
43%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.2
20.2
17.9
5
43%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 24.5
11.0
17.3
1
17%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.9
12.2
1
1-2
46%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 25.6
3.7
0
0-1
40%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.9
2.9
0
0-1
45%
Paul Zipser
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.9
1.8
0
0-0
44%
Denzel Valentine
F · 6'6" 214 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 32.0
36.9
35.9
31
62%
8
7
1
1
0
5
2
6
6-9
67%
11-19
8-13
58%
57%
1-2
50%
Jordan McRae
G · 6'5" 179 · 25.8
33.3
16.0
21
58%
3
2
0
0
2
2
1
2
6-7
86%
6-10
2-5
60%
48%
1-5
20%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.8
32.8
28.3
2
20%
11
0
2
0
0
3
9
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
57%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 33.6
29.9
19.8
15
68%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
3-6
50%
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 28.8
23.4
20.0
2
20%
3
1
2
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 36.5
28.6
22.9
7
44%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
53%
2-5
40%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 26.5
23.8
27.4
4
32%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
1-4
2-3
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Kay Felder
G · 5'9" 176 · 21.8
16.2
16.2
9
37%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
47%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.3
15.1
5.9
3
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 28.3
28.9
1
4-8
49%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 24.8
17.3
1
3-6
51%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.3
7.0
0
0-1
44%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 36.3
5.3
0
0-1
47%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 38.5
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 34.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.