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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 4, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Heat39%101107
21Kings61%105102
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
37
35
9
8
4
2
1
0
3
0
8
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
1-7
14%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 30.7
30
25
19
1
7
2
1
0
2
0
1
9-9
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
52%
0-2
0%
Rodney McGruder
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25.4
25
29
3
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 26.6
23
21
6
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
17
18
9
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
3-3
100%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 24.7
30
19
23
6
2
1
1
2
2
3
3
7-9
78%
5-7
3-5
71%
47%
2-4
50%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.9
25
17
14
6
6
0
1
3
3
2
4
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
55%
2-3
67%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.1
24
30
13
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
4-5
80%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 36.6
18
12
7
3
2
0
0
1
2
1
2
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.1
10
22
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.6
17
0
3-6
58%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.8
16
1
2-5
45%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.6
15
0
2-4
50%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.9
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 36.8
33
27
12
7
5
0
1
1
4
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
49%
2-4
50%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
32
35
13
6
4
2
1
0
1
0
6
5-8
63%
4-11
8-16
36%
49%
0-4
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.4
27
32
10
2
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
3-10
4-8
30%
52%
1-1
100%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.9
15
24
6
4
2
1
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
55%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.9
6
16
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 30.7
31
26
15
0
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
7-7
1-3
100%
47%
0-4
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
31
24
15
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
3-3
100%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 29.2
29
10
15
0
6
1
0
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
6-10
1-2
60%
47%
1-1
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.6
29
26
14
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-4
1-1
100%
55%
1-2
50%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
7
4
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
56%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 30.4
17
1
3-5
50%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
14
0
2-3
51%
Malachi Richardson
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.0
3
0
0-1
48%
Skal Labissiere
F-C · 6'11" 225 · 20.8
Georgios Papagiannis
C · 7'1" 240 · 19.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.