Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Heat	39%	101	107	112.6	95	86.9
	22	Kings	61%	105	102	107.4	95	104.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 23	37.1	9	41%	8	4	2	0	3	1	0	8	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	30.1	19	59%	1	7	2	0	2	1	0	1	9-9	100%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 25	24.5	3	25%	6	2	1	0	0	0	1	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Willie Reed C · 6'11" 245 · 27	23.3	6	50%	4	0	1	2	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	16.9	9	113%	4	0	0	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-3	100%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	30.4	23	77%	6	2	1	2	2	1	3	3	7-9	78%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	25.5	14	70%	6	6	0	3	3	6	2	4	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	24.0	13	81%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	0-3	0%	4-5	80%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	18.3	7	88%	3	2	0	1	2	4	1	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	9.9	4	50%	1	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	\| DND - right retinal contusion
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| DND - right shoulder
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	60%	39	24	8	9	18	0	7	32	25-29	86%	23-44	52%	12-28	43%

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27 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Richardson G · 6'6" 200 · 23	37.1	9	41%	8	4	2	0	3	1	0	8	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-7	14%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 31	30.1	19	59%	1	7	2	0	2	1	0	1	9-9	100%	5-10	50%	0-2	0%
Rodney McGruder F · 6'4" 200 · 25	24.5	3	25%	6	2	1	0	0	0	1	5	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Willie Reed C · 6'11" 245 · 27	23.3	6	50%	4	0	1	2	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Luke Babbitt F · 6'9" 225 · 28	16.9	9	113%	4	0	0	0	2	3	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-3	100%

Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 25	30.4	23	77%	6	2	1	2	2	1	3	3	7-9	78%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 30	25.5	14	70%	6	6	0	3	3	6	2	4	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	2-3	67%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 29	24.0	13	81%	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1-1	100%	0-3	0%	4-5	80%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 37	18.3	7	88%	3	2	0	1	2	4	1	2	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Dion Waiters G · 6'4" 215 · 25	9.9	4	50%	1	1	0	0	3	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 28	\| DND - right retinal contusion
Derrick Williams F · 6'8" 240 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 21	\| DND - right shoulder
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	60%	39	24	8	9	18	0	7	32	25-29	86%	23-44	52%	12-28	43%

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22 Sacramento Kings

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Matt Barnes F · 6'7" 226 · 37	33.4	12	67%	7	5	0	1	4	5	1	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-4	50%
DeMarcus Cousins F · 6'11" 270 · 26	31.7	13	36%	6	4	2	0	1	5	0	6	5-8	63%	4-11	36%	0-4	0%
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 29	26.7	10	45%	2	3	0	1	1	3	0	2	1-1	100%	3-10	30%	1-1	100%
Kosta Koufos C · 7'0" 265 · 28	15.2	6	100%	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Ben McLemore G · 6'5" 195 · 24	5.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%

Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 31	31.5	15	68%	0	2	3	0	1	3	0	0	1-1	100%	7-7	100%	0-4	0%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 31	31.1	15	83%	1	1	0	0	3	4	0	1	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-3	100%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 29	29.1	15	68%	0	6	1	0	4	3	0	0	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Anthony Tolliver F · 6'8" 240 · 32	28.8	14	100%	3	2	0	0	1	3	0	3	3-3	100%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Willie Cauley-Stein C · 7'0" 240 · 23	6.8	2	50%	3	1	1	0	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Rudy Gay F · 6'8" 230 · 30	\| DND - right hip flexor strain
Omri Casspi F · 6'9" 225 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Malachi Richardson G · 6'6" 205 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Skal Labissière #3 · F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Georgios Papagiannis #13 · C · 7'1" 240 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	59%	26	26	8	3	16	0	4	22	14-17	82%	32-58	55%	8-20	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.20 60.1%

SAC

1.17 58.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

10

18

56%

SAC

20

36

56%

Midrange

MIA

13

26

50%

SAC

12

22

55%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

12

18.0

28

43%

64%

SAC

8

12.0

20

40%

60%

Free Throws

MIA

25

29

86%

SAC

14

17

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Johnson	23	77%	11.5 / 15
G. Dragic	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Johnson	14	70%	7.0 / 10
W. Ellington	13	81%	6.5 / 8
J. Richardson	9	41%	4.5 / 11
L. Babbitt	9	113%	4.5 / 4
U. Haslem	7	88%	3.5 / 4
W. Reed	6	50%	3.0 / 6
D. Waiters	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. McGruder	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Kings

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Temple	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Afflalo	15	83%	7.5 / 9
T. Lawson	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Tolliver	14	100%	7.0 / 7
D. Cousins	13	36%	6.5 / 18
M. Barnes	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Collison	10	45%	5.0 / 11
K. Koufos	6	100%	3.0 / 3
W. Cauley-Stein	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. McLemore	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 108.1 21 107.4	MIA 112.6 +5.3 SAC 107.4
Pace	21 95.0 23 94.8	MIA 86.9 SAC 104.8 +18.0
Avg. Poss. Time	5 15.7 10 15.3	MIA 16.6 SAC 13.7 −2.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 51.2% 14 51.6%	MIA 56.9% +0.5% SAC 56.4%
TO %	8 13.2% 24 14.7%	MIA 18.3% SAC 16.6% −1.7%
ORB %	11 24.2% 26 21.0%	MIA 24.1% +13.0% SAC 11.1%
FTrt	26 25.1 10 28.4	MIA 40.3 +18.5 SAC 21.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	24 54.4% 11 59.4%	MIA 68.6% +3.6% SAC 65.0%
STL %	21 7.5% 17 8.0%	MIA 8.4% SAC 8.4%
BLK %	6 9.3% 20 7.4%	MIA 15.5% +8.7% SAC 6.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 52.8% 14 54.3%	MIA 60.1% +1.5% SAC 58.6%
Rim FG%	12 59.2% 16 58.8%	MIA 55.6% SAC 55.6%
Mid FG%	26 39.4% 20 40.2%	MIA 50.0% SAC 54.5% +4.5%
3P %	12 36.5% 5 37.6%	MIA 42.9% +2.9% SAC 40.0%
FT %	30 70.6% 16 77.5%	MIA 86.2% +3.8% SAC 82.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 35.4% 13 35.8%	MIA 25.0% SAC 46.2% +21.2%
Mid Att. %	15 33.1% 19 35.1%	MIA 36.1% SAC 28.2% −7.9%
3P Att. %	14 31.4% 20 29.1%	MIA 38.9% +13.2% SAC 25.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Game Totals	MIA	SAC
Possessions	95	95
Possession Minutes	26.3	21.8
Points	107	102
Rebounds	39	26
Assists	24	26
Steals	8	8
Blocks	9	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (1)	16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	22 (4)
Field Goals	35-72	40-78
At-the-Rim FG	10-18	20-36
Midrange FG	13-26	12-22
2-Point FG	23-44	32-58
3-Point FG	12-28	8-20
Free Throws	25-29	14-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg