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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 5, 2017
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hawks42%10199
22Pelicans58%10494
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 31.9
33.5
33.4
17
41%
10
4
2
2
1
2
0
10
4-4
100%
5-15
5-11
33%
49%
1-4
25%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 23.3
33.0
30.1
23
56%
6
4
1
1
0
4
3
3
5-6
83%
6-13
5-11
46%
48%
2-5
40%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.7
32.4
24.2
7
58%
6
5
1
1
3
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.1
29.9
29.3
12
61%
12
1
0
1
1
1
4
8
2-4
50%
5-8
5-8
63%
60%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 27.5
21.2
25.6
2
25%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 24.8
25.7
21.0
14
58%
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
4-7
57%
Malcolm Delaney
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
19.8
17.7
7
48%
3
8
3
1
0
3
0
3
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 25.5
19.8
19.5
9
50%
6
0
1
0
1
0
4
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
55%
1-1
100%
DeAndre' Bembry
F-G · 6'6" 210 · 22.5
14.8
3.7
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.9
10.0
11.2
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 35.8
23.2
1
1-2
48%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
2.1
0
0-0
40%
Taurean Prince
F · 6'8" 220 · 22.8
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 28.5
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 23.8
36.9
36.6
20
43%
18
3
2
1
0
3
7
11
6-8
75%
7-20
10-18
35%
53%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 26.6
35.4
33.4
18
61%
2
5
1
2
0
4
0
2
4-4
100%
1-7
5-10
14%
48%
4-6
67%
Buddy Hield
G · 6'4" 214 · 23.1
30.7
27.5
15
46%
7
4
1
1
0
0
2
5
1-1
100%
1-7
3-6
14%
46%
4-9
44%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.7
27.3
30.9
5
63%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 25.8
21.8
26.2
3
38%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 25.0
29.9
19.1
12
48%
11
1
1
1
3
3
4
7
0-1
0%
6-12
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.9
27.1
21.0
8
36%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
2-6
33%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 25.1
18.3
17.7
6
43%
2
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
2-6
33%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27.3
12.6
17.2
7
58%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.2
5.8
0
1-1
47%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 28.7
5.1
0
1-2
51%
Cheick Diallo
F-C · 6'8" 219 · 20.3
3.6
0
1-1
49%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.5
3.4
0
0-1
53%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 26.3
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.