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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 6, 2017
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2776ers22%99106
4Celtics78%110110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.8
36.5
31.0
9
65%
4
17
1
2
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
4-6
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.1
35.9
34.1
9
58%
3
2
3
2
2
3
0
3
3-4
75%
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
31.9
30.2
20
48%
2
3
2
1
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
4-14
29%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
25.9
25.8
23
70%
8
3
0
1
2
4
0
8
10-10
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
50%
1-3
33%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.2
24.7
29.0
4
29%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 29.1
29.1
8.1
18
84%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 22.7
24.8
13.5
13
73%
8
2
2
1
3
0
2
6
1-2
50%
6-8
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Dario Saric
F · 6'10" 223 · 22.7
22.7
24.1
8
40%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 21.7
8.5
15.9
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 21.1
13.2
0
3-5
51%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 30.6
8.6
0
1-2
43%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 23.2
3.7
0
1-1
53%
Ben Simmons
G-F · 6'10" 230 · 20.5
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 26.1
35.8
32.9
26
54%
9
2
1
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
4-13
5-9
31%
52%
6-11
55%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.9
34.6
33.8
24
64%
4
3
0
1
0
7
1
3
10-11
91%
4-10
6-11
40%
51%
2-4
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
32.4
30.1
19
60%
12
4
0
1
2
1
5
7
1-2
50%
3-8
5-8
38%
56%
4-7
57%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.5
29.6
32.8
0
0%
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
55%
0-2
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 29.7
26.0
23.8
13
84%
5
3
1
1
4
2
0
5
3-4
75%
2-3
3-5
67%
61%
2-3
67%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.8
29.6
28.4
14
51%
2
8
1
1
2
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
2-5
40%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 25.7
18.3
18.9
8
46%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
1-4
25%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.9
14.2
14.6
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
1-3
33%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.8
11.3
6.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jaylen Brown
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 20.2
4.8
11.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.9
3.5
6.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
1-1
100%
Demetrius Jackson
G · 6'1" 201 · 22.3
0.9
0
0-0
50%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 22.5
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.