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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 6, 2017
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies
128
1Warriors
119
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 35.0
48
27
11
12
3
6
2
0
2
6
6
1-2
50%
5-15
4-8
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 29.2
41
30
27
4
12
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
7-10
4-8
70%
45%
3-9
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.9
41
33
23
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
5-5
100%
9-16
6-13
56%
46%
0-2
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 26.5
20
19
4
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-3
33%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.2
16
10
10
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
2-4
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.5
35
23
27
11
6
0
0
0
1
4
7
2-2
100%
11-16
5-12
69%
45%
1-1
100%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.5
21
19
12
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
4-7
57%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 26.5
20
23
7
5
1
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.9
14
23
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
1-4
25%
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 22.6
5
10
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Andrew Harrison
G · 6'6" 213 · 22.2
5
21
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
0-0
-
Deyonta Davis
C-F · 6'11" 237 · 20.1
5
0
1-1
49%
Wade Baldwin IV
G · 6'4" 202 · 20.8
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.3
Troy Williams
F · 6'7" 218 · 22.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 28.3
43
35
27
13
4
0
1
3
4
2
11
13-18
72%
7-12
6-11
58%
56%
0-5
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
42
34
40
3
6
1
2
1
4
0
3
5-5
100%
10-14
4-7
71%
54%
5-13
38%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
42
36
17
6
2
0
1
0
0
3
3
1-3
33%
5-11
5-9
45%
52%
2-6
33%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.8
40
31
11
8
4
3
2
0
4
0
8
4-5
80%
2-3
2-5
67%
53%
1-3
33%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.9
30
18
10
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.9
27
26
2
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 31.3
16
17
7
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.4
11
13
1
4
3
2
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.8
6
14
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
54%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 29.0
5
6
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Patrick McCaw
G · 6'7" 185 · 21.2
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.9
4
0
1-1
55%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 34.3
2
0
0-0
50%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 24.0
Damian Jones
C · 7'0" 245 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.