Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	12	Hornets	23%	97	85	92.4	92	94.0
	2	Spurs	77%	107	102	107.4	95	93.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Zeller C · 7'0" 240 · 24	32.6	9	64%	9	1	1	2	2	2	3	6	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Kemba Walker G · 6'1" 184 · 27	31.2	18	60%	2	3	1	0	4	2	0	2	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist F · 6'7" 232 · 23	30.1	12	67%	9	2	2	0	2	3	1	8	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jeremy Lamb G · 6'5" 185 · 25	28.6	13	43%	8	3	0	1	1	1	0	8	5-6	83%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 31	27.2	11	46%	5	2	0	1	0	1	2	3	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%

Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31	26.5	5	25%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Frank Kaminsky F-C · 7'0" 242 · 24	20.8	2	25%	4	1	1	0	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 30	15.4	10	71%	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 31	14.9	3	21%	1	2	0	0	3	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Treveon Graham G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23	8.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brian Roberts G · 6'1" 173 · 31	4.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum G-F · 6'7" 230 · 28	\| DND - Hyperextended right knee.
Spencer Hawes F-C · 7'1" 245 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Christian Wood #35 · F · 6'9" 214 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	48%	48	18	5	4	15	0	8	40	21-25	84%	26-54	48%	4-21	19%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

12 Charlotte Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Cody Zeller C · 7'0" 240 · 24	32.6	9	64%	9	1	1	2	2	2	3	6	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Kemba Walker G · 6'1" 184 · 27	31.2	18	60%	2	3	1	0	4	2	0	2	4-5	80%	4-9	44%	2-4	50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist F · 6'7" 232 · 23	30.1	12	67%	9	2	2	0	2	3	1	8	0-0	-	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Jeremy Lamb G · 6'5" 185 · 25	28.6	13	43%	8	3	0	1	1	1	0	8	5-6	83%	4-9	44%	0-3	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 31	27.2	11	46%	5	2	0	1	0	1	2	3	4-4	100%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%

Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31	26.5	5	25%	4	2	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Frank Kaminsky F-C · 7'0" 242 · 24	20.8	2	25%	4	1	1	0	0	3	0	4	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 30	15.4	10	71%	5	0	0	0	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 31	14.9	3	21%	1	2	0	0	3	0	0	1	1-2	50%	1-5	20%	0-1	0%
Treveon Graham G-F · 6'5" 219 · 23	8.6	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Brian Roberts G · 6'1" 173 · 31	4.1	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum G-F · 6'7" 230 · 28	\| DND - Hyperextended right knee.
Spencer Hawes F-C · 7'1" 245 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Christian Wood #35 · F · 6'9" 214 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	85	48%	48	18	5	4	15	0	8	40	21-25	84%	26-54	48%	4-21	19%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 31	34.0	15	63%	11	3	0	1	0	2	5	6	5-6	83%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 26	32.9	19	50%	2	3	0	1	2	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	3-10	30%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 35	24.6	2	13%	4	2	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-2	0%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 30	20.6	6	50%	4	4	1	1	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-4	50%
Pau Gasol C · 7'0" 250 · 37	20.1	5	36%	5	3	1	2	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-2	50%

Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 27	22.8	15	107%	10	1	2	1	0	5	1	9	3-4	75%	6-6	100%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 39	20.3	3	21%	2	4	1	1	0	3	1	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-3	33%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 28	19.3	13	46%	2	1	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-5	20%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 27	18.9	3	25%	2	5	1	1	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-2	50%
Davis Bertans C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24	18.4	21	117%	1	2	1	0	0	2	0	1	7-8	88%	1-1	100%	4-5	80%
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 23	4.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dejounte Murray G · 6'4" 180 · 20	4.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
David Lee F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34	\| DND - left knee contusion
Bryn Forbes #11 · G · 6'3" 190 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	51%	43	29	9	8	7	0	9	34	17-20	85%	23-55	42%	13-34	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.96 47.8%

SAS

1.02 51.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

9

20

45%

SAS

12

26

46%

Midrange

CHA

17

34

50%

SAS

11

29

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

4

6.0

21

19%

29%

SAS

13

19.5

34

38%

57%

Free Throws

CHA

21

25

84%

SAS

17

20

85%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Walker	18	60%	9.0 / 15
J. Lamb	13	43%	6.5 / 15
M. Kidd-Gilchrist	12	67%	6.0 / 9
M. Williams	11	46%	5.5 / 12
R. Hibbert	10	71%	5.0 / 7
C. Zeller	9	64%	4.5 / 7
M. Belinelli	5	25%	2.5 / 10
R. Sessions	3	21%	1.5 / 7
F. Kaminsky	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Roberts	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Bertans	21	117%	10.5 / 9
K. Leonard	19	50%	9.5 / 19
L. Aldridge	15	63%	7.5 / 12
D. Dedmon	15	107%	7.5 / 7
P. Mills	13	46%	6.5 / 14
D. Green	6	50%	3.0 / 6
P. Gasol	5	36%	2.5 / 7
M. Ginobili	3	21%	1.5 / 7
J. Simmons	3	25%	1.5 / 6
T. Parker	2	13%	1.0 / 8
D. Murray	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	14 109.3 8 111.3	CHA 92.4 SAS 107.4 +15.0
Pace	19 95.3 27 94.1	CHA 94.0 +1.0 SAS 93.0
Avg. Poss. Time	11 15.3 4 15.8	CHA 15.3 −0.2 SAS 15.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 50.1% 10 52.4%	CHA 42.7% SAS 47.8% +5.1%
TO %	1 11.4% 14 13.6%	CHA 15.7% SAS 6.7% −9.0%
ORB %	27 20.0% 14 24.0%	CHA 19.0% +0.6% SAS 18.4%
FTrt	12 27.9 18 26.3	CHA 33.3 +10.8 SAS 22.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	8 61.1% 9 60.6%	CHA 60.0% SAS 80.6% +20.6%
STL %	26 7.3% 7 8.5%	CHA 5.4% SAS 9.5% +4.1%
BLK %	9 8.6% 2 9.9%	CHA 7.3% SAS 14.8% +7.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 53.4% 10 54.8%	CHA 47.8% SAS 51.0% +3.2%
Rim FG%	19 58.4% 5 60.5%	CHA 45.0% SAS 46.2% +1.2%
Mid FG%	24 39.7% 9 42.0%	CHA 50.0% +12.1% SAS 37.9%
3P %	18 35.1% 1 39.1%	CHA 19.0% SAS 38.2% +19.2%
FT %	1 81.5% 7 79.7%	CHA 84.0% SAS 85.0% +1.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	26 32.3% 28 31.1%	CHA 26.7% SAS 29.2% +2.5%
Mid Att. %	18 34.2% 29 40.8%	CHA 45.3% SAS 32.6% −12.7%
3P Att. %	8 33.5% 24 28.1%	CHA 28.0% SAS 38.2% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHA	SAS
Possessions	92	95
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	85	102
Rebounds	48	43
Assists	18	29
Steals	5	9
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	40 (3)	34 (3)
Field Goals	30-75	36-89
At-the-Rim FG	9-20	12-26
Midrange FG	17-34	11-29
2-Point FG	26-54	23-55
3-Point FG	4-21	13-34
Free Throws	21-25	17-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg